SKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKT - Tanger Inc.
$40.75
0.09 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-2.51%
30d:
+3.09%
90d:
+12.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKT is currently trading at $40.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.65 to $41.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.6) compared to its historical average (30.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.65 -
$41.59
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.65 -
$41.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.43
Resistance Level
$42.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.65
Wall Street Target
$40.73
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 30.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.04
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$43.47
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$44.95
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$54.22
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$33.40
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.1%)
$28.39
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$51.90
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.1%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$47.18
(+16%)
Market implied 15.1%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$27.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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