SKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKT - Tanger Inc.
$39.88
0.01 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
-0.08%
30d:
+0.18%
90d:
+9.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKT is currently trading at $39.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.35 to $40.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.0) is in line with its historical norms (30.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$38.35 -
$40.55
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.35 -
$40.55
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.22
Resistance Level
$39.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.01
Wall Street Target
$40.45
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
33.0 vs 30.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.04
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$42.23
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$43.45
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.0, Growth: 10.1%)
$53.18
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$35.09
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.1%)
$29.83
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$49.69
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.0%, PE expands to 41.1
Base Case
$45.17
(+13%)
Market implied 14.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$26.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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