SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$13.00
0.39 (3.09%)
▲
5d:
-5.93%
30d:
-8.96%
90d:
+0.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.96
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $13.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.95 to $14.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.3) is in line with its historical norms (28.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.59, while resistance sits at $14.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SRAD scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.77 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.59, while resistance sits at $14.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SRAD scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.77 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.95 -
$14.81
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($18.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.95 -
$14.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.59
Resistance Level
$14.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.26
Wall Street Target
$18.77
(+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.3 vs 28.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.66
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.33
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$12.01
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→29)
$13.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 90.4%)
$43.88
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 90.4%)
$33.53
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 90.4%)
$28.50
(+119%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 48.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.27
Bull Case
$15.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.7
Base Case
$13.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 48.3
Bear Case
$9.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 28.5
Stabilization Target:
$14.11
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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