SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$14.54
-0.16 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
-3.84%
90d:
+11.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRAD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRAD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.86
30.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $14.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.46 to $15.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.1) compared to its historical average (28.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.50 (+47.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.50 (+47.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.46 -
$15.45
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.8% below Wall St target ($21.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.46 -
$15.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.14
Resistance Level
$15.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.07
Wall Street Target
$21.50
(+47.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 28.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.10
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.64
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→29)
$14.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: 59.2%)
$49.07
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 59.2%)
$48.27
(+232%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 59.2%)
$41.03
(+182%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.40
Bull Case
$17.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$14.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$11.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 28.8
Stabilization Target:
$19.87
(+36.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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