SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$14.70
0.12 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
-7.89%
30d:
+13.08%
90d:
-24.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.57
34.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $14.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.98 to $15.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (30.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.51, while resistance sits at $16.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.09 (+43.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.51, while resistance sits at $16.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.09 (+43.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.98 -
$15.63
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($21.09)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.98 -
$15.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.51
Resistance Level
$16.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.69
Wall Street Target
$21.09
(+43.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 30.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.23
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→30)
$16.55
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 69.7%)
$54.89
(+273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 69.7%)
$49.61
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 69.7%)
$42.17
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.42
Bull Case
$17.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$14.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$11.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 30.4
Stabilization Target:
$22.70
(+54.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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