SRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$88.55
-1.03 (-1.15%)
▼
5d:
-4.76%
30d:
-3.09%
90d:
-6.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.54
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $88.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.79 to $94.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.81 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.81 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$90.79 -
$94.21
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.79 -
$94.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.21
Resistance Level
$94.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.99
Wall Street Target
$104.81
(+18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.60
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$84.70
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$82.83
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$88.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.3%)
$145.72
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$112.42
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 8.3%)
$95.55
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.97
Bull Case
$183.70
(+108%)
Analyst growth 86.4%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$167.00
(+89%)
Market implied 86.4%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$60.91
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$94.68
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justin Christopher Bird
SELL
1128 shares
2026-04-01
Dyan Z Wold
SELL
1539 shares
2026-03-16
Jennifer M Kirk
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
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