Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AQN - Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
$5.31
-0.12 (-2.21%)
▼
5d:
-5.18%
30d:
-7.97%
90d:
-9.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AQN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AQN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.97
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.19
14.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AQN is currently trading at $5.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.59 to $5.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AQN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AQN scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+27.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AQN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AQN scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+27.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.59 -
$5.82
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.1% below Wall St target ($6.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.59 -
$5.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.28
Resistance Level
$5.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.00
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+27.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.4%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 15.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.99
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.68
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$4.40
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$5.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.6%)
$12.38
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 14.6%)
$7.98
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$6.79
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$10.16
(+91%)
Analyst growth 70.2%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$9.24
(+74%)
Market implied 70.2%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$3.69
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$6.41
(+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AQN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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