Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AQN - Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
$5.41
0.10 (1.88%)
▲
5d:
+4.04%
30d:
+6.92%
90d:
-11.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AQN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AQN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.63
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.98
9.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AQN is currently trading at $5.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.04 to $5.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AQN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AQN scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.58 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AQN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AQN scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.58 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.04 -
$5.28
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($6.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.04 -
$5.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.02
Resistance Level
$5.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.00
Wall Street Target
$6.58
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.4%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 15.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.03
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$4.76
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$4.51
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$5.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.2%)
$12.09
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 14.2%)
$7.92
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 14.2%)
$6.73
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$9.79
(+84%)
Analyst growth 70.2%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$8.90
(+68%)
Market implied 70.2%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$3.56
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$6.25
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AQN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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