SRE Sempra GAS & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

Sempra (SRE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$78.50
+0.12 (+0.15%) ▲
5d: -5.31% 30d: -4.7% 90d: -9.23%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$79.65 – $84.73
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.2x CHEAP
vs 16.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$97.16
+24.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.86 / $87.08
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SRE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.10
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $78.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.65 to $84.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1036.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SRE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.16 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $79.65 - $84.73
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $79.65 - $84.73
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $77.86
Resistance Level $87.08
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($97.16)
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.19
Wall Street Target $97.16 (+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1036.3%
Profit Margin 22.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.2 vs 16.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $74.54 (-5%)
2-Year Target $70.89 (-10%)
3-Year Target $67.41 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→17) $78.40 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.0%) $134.29 (+71%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 7.0%) $95.93 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 12.1, Growth: 7.0%) $81.54 (+4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.67
Bull Case $102.50 (+31%)
Analyst growth 18.3%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case $93.18 (+19%)
Market implied 18.3%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case $53.56 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 16.5
Stabilization Target: $91.15 (+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SRE)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwits message indicates the formation of a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern for $SRE, suggesting a potential reversal from the downtrend. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes: Reversal from downtrend Technical analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive SRE Research Pages
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