SRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$86.48
0.56 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
-6.79%
90d:
-5.67%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.35
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $86.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.60 to $93.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.65, while resistance sits at $89.98.
Market Sentiment: SRE scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.69 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.65, while resistance sits at $89.98.
Market Sentiment: SRE scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.69 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.60 -
$93.86
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($104.69)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.60 -
$93.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.65
Resistance Level
$89.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.62
Wall Street Target
$104.69
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.3%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$81.70
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$79.42
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$86.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$142.87
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 8.5%)
$110.33
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$93.78
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.47
Bull Case
$150.77
(+74%)
Analyst growth 59.5%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$137.07
(+59%)
Market implied 59.5%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$58.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$94.11
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justin Christopher Bird
SELL
1128 shares
2026-04-01
Dyan Z Wold
SELL
1539 shares
2026-03-16
Jennifer M Kirk
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
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