Sempra (SRE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$78.05
0.09 (0.12%)
▲
5d:
+0.4%
30d:
-7.37%
90d:
-16.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.20
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $78.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.34 to $84.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.92 (+28.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.92 (+28.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.34 -
$84.69
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($99.92)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.34 -
$84.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.21
Resistance Level
$81.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.09
Wall Street Target
$99.92
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.3%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 16.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$69.55
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$65.66
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$77.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$144.21
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$99.60
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$84.66
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$138.10
(+77%)
Analyst growth 61.0%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$125.55
(+61%)
Market implied 61.0%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$53.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$92.51
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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