SSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSL - Sasol Limited
$12.49
0.22 (1.79%)
▲
5d:
+8.33%
30d:
+3.65%
90d:
-5.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 24, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.01
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $12.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.03 to $11.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.03 -
$11.88
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.7% growth with 0.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.03 -
$11.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.14
Resistance Level
$12.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.50
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.8%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 5.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.58
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$14.76
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$16.04
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.40
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -34.1%)
$24.36
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: -34.1%)
$9.11
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: -34.1%)
$7.04
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 7.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.60
Bull Case
$15.08
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$12.49
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$9.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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