Sasol (SSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.01
+0.09 (+0.65%)
▲
5d:
-8.31%
30d:
-10.08%
90d:
+25.2%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$14.51 – $16.90
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.0x
CHEAP
vs 5.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.75
+41.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.20 / $17.66
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.70
Based on -1.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $14.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.51 to $16.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.0) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 447.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.20, while resistance sits at $17.66.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.75 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.20, while resistance sits at $17.66.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.75 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.51 -
$16.90
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.51 -
$16.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$13.20
Resistance Level
$17.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($19.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.99
Wall Street Target
$19.75
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
447.5%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.0 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.21
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$12.54
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$11.90
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$13.82
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.6%)
$43.62
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: -7.6%)
$10.97
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.2, Growth: -7.6%)
$9.32
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$30.34
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$27.58
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$9.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.0 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$16.17
(+16.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SSL)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Aug 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SSL are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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