Sasol (SSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSL - Sasol Limited
$14.59
-0.06 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
+18.14%
30d:
+27.09%
90d:
+8.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SSL is 11.4% above its trading range ($13.10). Market expects -4.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SSL is 11.4% above its trading range ($13.10). Market expects -4.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.95
Based on -1.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $14.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.09 to $13.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (5.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 447.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.88 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.88 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.09 -
$13.10
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
16.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.09 -
$13.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.64
Resistance Level
$14.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.23
Wall Street Target
$16.88
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
447.5%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 5.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.98
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$13.39
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$12.83
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$14.46
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -7.6%)
$44.30
(+204%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: -7.6%)
$11.50
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: -7.6%)
$9.77
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.18
Bull Case
$32.23
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$29.30
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$9.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 5.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.45
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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