Sasol (SSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSL - Sasol Limited
$13.96
0.14 (1.01%)
â˛
5d:
-2.38%
30d:
+12.13%
90d:
+44.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SSL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SSL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.95
Based on -1.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $13.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.28 to $14.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.0) compared to its historical average (5.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 447.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.30, while resistance sits at $14.55.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.88 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.30, while resistance sits at $14.55.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.88 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.28 -
$14.48
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($16.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.28 -
$14.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.30
Resistance Level
$14.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.01
Wall Street Target
$16.88
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
447.5%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.0 vs 5.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.23
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$12.55
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$11.89
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â6)
$14.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -7.6%)
$44.80
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: -7.6%)
$11.00
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: -7.6%)
$9.35
(-33%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$30.40
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$27.64
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$9.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.0 to 5.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.45
(+17.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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