SSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SSL - Sasol Limited

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$11.32
0.03 (0.27%) ▲
5d: -0.61%
30d: -14.69%
90d: -7.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 31, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SSL trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.87
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $11.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.86 to $13.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (5.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.86 - $13.68
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.5% growth with 0.2% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.86 - $13.68
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.22
Resistance Level $13.81
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.78
Wall Street Target $12.00 (+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.8%
Profit Margin 1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.5% premium
PE vs Historical 6.8 vs 5.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.02 (+7%)
2-Year Target $12.81 (+13%)
3-Year Target $13.64 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $11.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -34.1%) $26.43 (+134%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: -34.1%) $8.23 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 5.6, Growth: -34.1%) $6.80 (-40%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case $23.69 (+110%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.5
Base Case $21.54 (+91%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.8
Bear Case $7.32 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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