Sasol (SSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSL - Sasol Limited
$16.19
0.26 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
+3.58%
30d:
+17.4%
90d:
+34.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.70
Based on -1.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $16.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.82 to $15.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 447.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.82 -
$15.51
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.82 -
$15.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.55
Resistance Level
$16.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.81
Wall Street Target
$16.88
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
447.5%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 5.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.16
(0%)
2-Year Target
$16.13
(0%)
3-Year Target
$16.09
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.07
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.6%)
$43.62
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: -7.6%)
$12.76
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: -7.6%)
$10.84
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$35.05
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$31.86
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$10.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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