STT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STT - State Street Corporation
$173.73
0.02 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
+3.8%
30d:
+13.04%
90d:
+40.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STT trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: STT trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.52
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $173.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.76 to $168.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$154.76 -
$168.00
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
STT is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($161.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with -2.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$154.76 -
$168.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.96
Resistance Level
$164.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.57
Wall Street Target
$161.18
(-7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.1%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 10.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.79
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$194.44
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$205.72
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$173.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$408.18
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$235.65
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$198.65
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.85
Bull Case
$259.67
(+50%)
Analyst growth 40.3%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$236.06
(+36%)
Market implied 40.3%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$114.45
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mostapha Tahiri
SELL
9611 shares
2026-04-22
Michael L Richards
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-22
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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