STT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STT - State Street Corporation
$184.16
1.34 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
-0.67%
30d:
+8.54%
90d:
+20.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.15
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $184.16, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $172.40 to $184.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$172.40 -
$184.52
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($198.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with -2.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$172.40 -
$184.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.50
Resistance Level
$187.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.99
Wall Street Target
$198.75
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.1%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.85
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$195.09
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$201.52
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$183.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$441.78
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$254.51
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 11.7%)
$216.33
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.93
Bull Case
$270.17
(+47%)
Analyst growth 39.5%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$245.61
(+33%)
Market implied 39.5%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$119.71
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mostapha Tahiri
SELL
9611 shares
2026-04-22
Michael L Richards
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-22
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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