STT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STT - State Street Corporation
$187.13
4.06 (2.22%)
â˛
5d:
-2.4%
30d:
+1.59%
90d:
+21.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 16, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $185.81 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.23
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $187.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.74 to $188.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $182.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STT scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $182.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STT scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$181.74 -
$188.91
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($199.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.7% growth with -2.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$181.74 -
$188.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.96
Resistance Level
$195.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$199.50
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.1%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.05
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$201.23
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$208.68
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$187.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.7%)
$428.59
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 11.7%)
$261.13
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$221.96
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.17
Bull Case
$275.89
(+47%)
Analyst growth 37.0%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$250.81
(+34%)
Market implied 37.0%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$124.49
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mostapha Tahiri
SELL
9611 shares
2026-04-22
Michael L Richards
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-22
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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