State Street (STT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$171.62
+0.74 (+0.43%)
▲
5d:
+1.13%
30d:
-1.89%
90d:
-9.73%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
69/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$167.17 – $174.38
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.1x
FAIR
vs 11.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$192.63
+12.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$164.66 / $175.90
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
STT is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; STT has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-10.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$255.77
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$158.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $171.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.17 to $174.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $175.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STT scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $192.63 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $175.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STT scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $192.63 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$167.17 -
$174.38
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$167.17 -
$174.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$164.66
Resistance Level
$175.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($192.63)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.05
Wall Street Target
$192.63
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
23.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.28
(0%)
2-Year Target
$170.93
(0%)
3-Year Target
$170.59
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$171.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$438.82
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$244.15
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$207.53
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.24
Bull Case
$238.52
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$216.83
(+26%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$116.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$172.40
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (STT)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article compares the iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Growth ETF (ISCG) and State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Growth ETF (SLYG) in terms of cost, diversification, and recent volatility. The iShares fund is more affordable but offers lower recent returns and a higher beta, while the State Street fund is more expensive but provides a smoother ride.
Key Retail Themes:
Comparison of two small-cap growth ETFs
Cost, diversification, and recent volatility differences
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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