Is STT stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, STT is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of STT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for STT to be between $186.32 and $193.14. The current price is $193.40.

What is the analyst price target for STT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for STT is $199.50. This implies a potential upside of 3.2% from current levels.

State Street (STT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STT - State Street Corporation

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

$193.40

2.10 (1.10%) ▲

5d: -0.28%

30d: +1.73%

90d: +17.32%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 16, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $191.88 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 5.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 11.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$248.18

Based on 7.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$154.10

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $193.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.32 to $193.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $195.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $186.32 - $193.14

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 49.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($199.50)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.5% growth with -2.8% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $186.32 - $193.14

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $186.71

Resistance Level $195.40

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.63

Wall Street Target $199.50 (+3.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -24.1%

Profit Margin 23.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.5% premium

PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 11.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $202.10 (+5%)

2-Year Target $211.20 (+9%)

3-Year Target $220.70 (+14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→11) PE COMPRESSION $193.96 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.8%) $431.41 (+123%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 11.8%) $270.14 (+40%)

Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.8%) $229.62 (+19%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 16.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.29

Bull Case $285.40 (+48%)

Analyst growth 35.6%, PE expands to 18.6

Base Case $259.45 (+34%)

Market implied 35.6%, PE stable at 16.9

Bear Case $130.08 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Mostapha Tahiri SELL 9611 shares 2026-04-22

Michael L Richards SELL 3000 shares 2026-04-22

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

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Advanced STT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STT price and gamma walls.

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