TAYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAYD - Taylor Devices Inc
$53.12
1.79 (3.49%)
▲
5d:
-4.2%
30d:
-6.89%
90d:
-0.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAYD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.3% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAYD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.3% annual earnings decline despite 24% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$142.33
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.37
39.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAYD is currently trading at $53.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.68 to $57.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.84, while resistance sits at $58.27. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.84, while resistance sits at $58.27. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+30.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$53.68 -
$57.94
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($67.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.68 -
$57.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.84
Resistance Level
$58.27
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.33
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.20
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$41.58
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$37.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→20)
$55.57
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 23.0%)
$148.53
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 23.0%)
$95.53
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 23.0%)
$81.20
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$73.55
(+43%)
Analyst growth 28.3%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$66.86
(+30%)
Market implied 28.3%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$35.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$76.23
(+48.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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