TENB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.
$38.60
0.70 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
+40.67%
30d:
+24.92%
90d:
+126.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TENB is 18.7% above its trading range ($32.52). Market expects 15.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TENB is 18.7% above its trading range ($32.52). Market expects 15.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.72
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $38.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.31 to $32.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TENB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $29.10. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TENB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $29.10. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.31 -
$32.52
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.9%
Protect Your Profits
TENB is technically overbought (RSI 83). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+18.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 24.6% above Wall St target ($29.10)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.31 -
$32.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.50
Resistance Level
$39.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.77
Wall Street Target
$29.10
(-24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 11.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.62
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$51.58
(+34%)
3-Year Target
$59.63
(+55%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$64.57
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$52.69
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 10.9%)
$34.09
(-12%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TENB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Arthur W Coviello Jr
BUY
12000 shares
2026-02-09
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-06
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-30
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Advanced TENB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TENB price and gamma walls.
