TENB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$34.38
0.27 (0.79%) β–²
5d: -10.31%
30d: +8.73%
90d: +36.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TENB is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.04
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $34.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.89 to $38.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $32.51, while resistance sits at $40.19.

Market Sentiment: TENB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $32.89 - $38.81
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 44.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.35)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.3% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.89 - $38.81
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.51
Resistance Level $40.19
Current Trend Support Break
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.15
Wall Street Target $35.35 (+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.6%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.3% premium
PE vs Historical 16.2 vs 12.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.57 (+9%)
2-Year Target $42.16 (+20%)
3-Year Target $46.08 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’12) PE COMPRESSION $35.37 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.1%) $58.70 (+66%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 10.1%) $47.15 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 12.4, Growth: 10.1%) $36.19 (+3%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.78
Bull Case $41.51 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case $34.38 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $26.30 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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