THR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

THR - THERMON GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.

ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS
$61.14
-5.67 (-8.49%) â–ŧ
5d: -6.0%
30d: +3.09%
90d: +20.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: THR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.79
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.23
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: THR is currently trading at $61.14, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 56.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.5%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 16.6% above Wall St target ($51.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.7% growth with 10.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $59.95
Resistance Level $71.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 29, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.05
Wall Street Target $51.00 (-16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -83.7%
Profit Margin 8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.7% premium
PE vs Historical 27.1 vs 22.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $65.24 (+7%)
2-Year Target $69.61 (+14%)
3-Year Target $74.27 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→22) PE COMPRESSION $60.95 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.1, Growth: 6.5%) $73.86 (+21%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.5%) $59.93 (-2%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 6.5%) $50.94 (-17%)
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-02

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