THR THERMON GROUP HOLDINGS, INC. ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS

THERMON GROUP (THR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$61.14
-5.67 (-8.49%) â–ŧ
5d: -6.0% 30d: +3.09% 90d: +20.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.1x STRETCHED
vs 22.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$51.00
-16.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.95 / $71.87
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: THR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.79
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.23
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: THR is currently trading at $61.14, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 56.7%

Trading Range & Key Levels

Support Level $59.95
Resistance Level $71.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 29, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.5%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 16.6% above Wall St target ($51.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.7% growth with 10.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.05
Wall Street Target $51.00 (-16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -83.7%
Profit Margin 8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.7% premium
PE vs Historical 27.1 vs 22.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $65.24 (+7%)
2-Year Target $69.61 (+14%)
3-Year Target $74.27 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→22) PE COMPRESSION $60.95 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.1, Growth: 6.5%) $73.86 (+21%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.5%) $59.93 (-2%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 6.5%) $50.94 (-17%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (THR)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest Yahoo Finance article identifies Thermon (THR) as one of three market-beating stocks with exceptional revenue growth, expanding margins, and increasing returns on capital. The article highlights THR's impressive 12.4% annual revenue growth and 46.1% annual earnings per share growth over the last five years.
Key Retail Themes: Thron's exceptional revenue and earnings growth The importance of market-beating stocks with sustained earnings growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 12:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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