THR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THR - THERMON GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.
$61.14
-5.67 (-8.49%)
▼
5d:
-6.0%
30d:
+3.09%
90d:
+20.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: THR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.79
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THR is currently trading at $61.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.25 to $68.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$57.25 -
$68.11
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 16.6% above Wall St target ($51.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.7% growth with 10.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.25 -
$68.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.95
Resistance Level
$71.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.05
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(-16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.7%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 22.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.24
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$69.61
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$74.27
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 6.5%)
$73.86
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.5%)
$59.93
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 6.5%)
$50.94
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.00
Bull Case
$80.67
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$66.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$51.11
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is THR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-02
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