TIGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIGR - UP Fintech Holding Ltd American Depositary Share representing fifteen Class A Ordinary Shares
$4.90
0.02 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
+3.59%
30d:
+6.06%
90d:
-25.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TIGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TIGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.87
37.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIGR is currently trading at $4.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.56 to $4.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 66.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIGR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.61, while resistance sits at $5.09.
Market Sentiment: TIGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.68 (+56.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIGR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.61, while resistance sits at $5.09.
Market Sentiment: TIGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.68 (+56.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.56 -
$4.82
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.6% below Wall St target ($7.68)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.56 -
$4.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.61
Resistance Level
$5.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.20
Wall Street Target
$7.68
(+56.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.4%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 6.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.46
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$4.07
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$3.70
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$4.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 82.9%)
$65.97
(+1246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 82.9%)
$16.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: 82.9%)
$14.06
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$8.03
(+64%)
Analyst growth 49.7%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$7.30
(+49%)
Market implied 49.7%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$3.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.51
(+32.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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