TIGR
UP Fintech Holding Ltd American Depositary Share representing fifteen Class A Ordinary Shares
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TIGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.02
+0.11 (+2.81%)
▲
5d:
+1.77%
30d:
-7.37%
90d:
-13.73%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
70/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$3.92 – $4.33
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.5x
CHEAP
vs 6.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.71
+91.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.61 / $4.09
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TIGR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $3.87 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.86
41.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIGR is currently trading at $4.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.92 to $4.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (6.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIGR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.71 (+91.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TIGR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.71 (+91.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$3.92 -
$4.33
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.92 -
$4.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$3.61
Resistance Level
$4.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 91.8% below Wall St target ($7.71)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.47
Wall Street Target
$7.71
(+91.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
18.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 6.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$4.13
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 60.8%)
$60.33
(+1401%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 60.8%)
$13.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 60.8%)
$11.53
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.54
Bull Case
$7.17
(+78%)
Analyst growth 66.7%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$6.52
(+62%)
Market implied 66.7%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$2.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 6.3
Stabilization Target:
$5.67
(+41.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TIGR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates on StockTwits regarding $TIGR, with the latest Yahoo Finance news article discussing the significant decline in UP Fintech's stock price due to regulatory pressure and concerns over international expansion costs and constraints.
Key Retail Themes:
Regulatory Pressure
International Expansion Costs
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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