TNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TNC - TENNANT COMPANY

REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY
$88.44
-1.71 (-1.90%) ▼
5d: +2.14%
30d: +7.59%
90d: +34.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.01
4.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $88.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.98 to $88.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TNC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $82.98 - $88.06
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($93.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.3% growth with 2.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $82.98 - $88.06
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.09
Resistance Level $88.19
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.06
Wall Street Target $93.50 (+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -98.6%
Profit Margin 2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.3% premium
PE vs Historical 14.1 vs 12.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $94.93 (+5%)
2-Year Target $99.96 (+11%)
3-Year Target $105.26 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $89.81 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.3%) $274.49 (+205%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 25.3%) $177.24 (+97%)
Bear: (PE: 12.0, Growth: 25.3%) $150.66 (+67%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.98 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.75
Bull Case $108.86 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case $90.15 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case $68.96 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James T Jr. Glerum BUY 8163 shares 2026-03-02
Donal L Mulligan BUY 3000 shares 2026-02-27
Carol S Eicher SELL 3130 shares 2026-02-26

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