TNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$84.03
1.35 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
-4.26%
30d:
-2.37%
90d:
+1.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.33
11.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $84.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.77 to $88.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.25, while resistance sits at $89.97.
Market Sentiment: TNC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.50 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.25, while resistance sits at $89.97.
Market Sentiment: TNC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.50 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.77 -
$88.47
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 2.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.77 -
$88.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.25
Resistance Level
$89.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.11
Wall Street Target
$93.50
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.88
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$87.77
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$89.70
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$84.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 25.3%)
$261.25
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 25.3%)
$165.21
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 25.3%)
$140.43
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.68
Bull Case
$181.90
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.1
Base Case
$165.36
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.2
Bear Case
$56.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James T Jr. Glerum
BUY
8163 shares
2026-03-02
Donal L Mulligan
BUY
3000 shares
2026-02-27
Carol S Eicher
SELL
3130 shares
2026-02-26
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