TNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$68.68
0.66 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
+0.13%
30d:
-20.89%
90d:
-16.45%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.58
17.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $68.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.21 to $87.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $65.88, while resistance sits at $72.83.
Market Sentiment: TNC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $65.88, while resistance sits at $72.83.
Market Sentiment: TNC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.21 -
$87.82
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($87.75)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.21 -
$87.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.88
Resistance Level
$72.83
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.10
Wall Street Target
$87.75
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.68
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$67.34
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$67.00
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$68.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 46.0%)
$350.84
(+416%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 46.0%)
$211.57
(+211%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 46.0%)
$179.84
(+164%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.98 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.05
Bull Case
$82.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$68.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$52.54
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$69.13
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James T Jr. Glerum
BUY
8163 shares
2026-03-02
Donal L Mulligan
BUY
3000 shares
2026-02-27
Carol S Eicher
SELL
3130 shares
2026-02-26
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