TPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$136.13
-4.60 (-3.27%)
▼
5d:
-6.43%
30d:
-3.4%
90d:
-9.43%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$225.33
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.91
2.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $136.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.93 to $148.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $135.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.60 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $135.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.60 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$140.93 -
$148.45
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.4% below Wall St target ($166.60)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.93 -
$148.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$135.48
Resistance Level
$147.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.53
Wall Street Target
$166.60
(+22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 20.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.00
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$124.15
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$118.57
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$135.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$233.41
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 11.3%)
$187.86
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$159.68
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$309.61
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.2
Base Case
$281.46
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.9
Bear Case
$95.70
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$156.09
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Terri A. Sewell
SELL
2026-03-25
Joanne C Crevoiserat
SELL
48795 shares
2026-02-18
Thomas Greco
SELL
14245 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced TPR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPR price and gamma walls.
