TPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$130.17
0.35 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
+0.92%
30d:
-6.44%
90d:
-6.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 12, 2026 at $153.74 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.25
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.35
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $130.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.61 to $156.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.14, while resistance sits at $164.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.40 (+28.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.14, while resistance sits at $164.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.40 (+28.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$133.61 -
$156.00
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.9% below Wall St target ($167.40)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$133.61 -
$156.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.14
Resistance Level
$164.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.57
Wall Street Target
$167.40
(+28.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.16
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$114.95
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$108.17
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$129.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$221.43
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 12.1%)
$182.78
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$155.36
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.27
Bull Case
$156.17
(+20%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$141.97
(+9%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$89.57
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$155.94
(+20.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Terri A. Sewell
SELL
2026-03-25
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Advanced TPR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPR price and gamma walls.
