TRAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRAK - ReposiTrak, Inc.
$8.00
0.02 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
-6.1%
30d:
-0.25%
90d:
-19.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 05, 2026
Get Alerted When TRAK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRAK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRAK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.80
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.81
18.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRAK is currently trading at $8.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.20 to $8.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $7.72, while resistance sits at $8.80.
Market Sentiment: TRAK scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+100.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $7.72, while resistance sits at $8.80.
Market Sentiment: TRAK scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+100.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.20 -
$8.81
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
44th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 44th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 100.5% below Wall St target ($16.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.20 -
$8.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.87
(10.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.72
Resistance Level
$8.80
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.56
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+100.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Profit Margin
31.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.45
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$6.96
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$6.50
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$7.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.2%)
$13.55
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 16.2%)
$12.53
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$10.65
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$10.41
(+30%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$9.46
(+18%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$5.54
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$9.80
(+22.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TRAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall K Fields
SELL
7500 shares
2026-03-23
Randall K Fields
SELL
1428 shares
2026-03-17
Randall K Fields
SELL
6072 shares
2026-03-16
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DDOG
Datadog Inc |
STRONG BUY
48 analysts |
$285 | 57 HOLD |
|
SNOW
Snowflake Inc. |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$307 | 45 HOLD |
|
CDNS
Cadence Design Systems I… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$404 | 54 HOLD |
|
CRM
Salesforce.com Inc |
STRONG BUY
55 analysts |
$242 | 39 SELL |
|
SNPS
Synopsys Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$535 | 42 HOLD |