ReposiTrak (TRAK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRAK - ReposiTrak, Inc.
$8.00
0.11 (1.39%)
▲
5d:
+1.14%
30d:
-4.65%
90d:
-17.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRAK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRAK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.59
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.68
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRAK is currently trading at $8.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.88 to $8.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.62, while resistance sits at $8.35.
Market Sentiment: TRAK scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+100.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.62, while resistance sits at $8.35.
Market Sentiment: TRAK scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+100.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.88 -
$8.52
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 100.0% below Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 82/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.88 -
$8.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.62
Resistance Level
$8.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.60
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+100.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Profit Margin
31.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.50
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$7.04
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$6.60
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$7.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.2%)
$13.61
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 16.2%)
$12.56
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$10.67
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$10.09
(+26%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$9.17
(+15%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$5.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$9.68
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall K Fields
SELL
7500 shares
2026-03-23
Randall K Fields
SELL
1428 shares
2026-03-17
Randall K Fields
SELL
6072 shares
2026-03-16
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