TTD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TTD - The Trade Desk, Inc.
$19.10
-0.05 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
+10.21%
30d:
-9.48%
90d:
-13.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
Get Alerted When TTD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
3 traders called TTD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TTD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TTD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.73
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.53
28.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TTD is currently trading at $19.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.07 to $21.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TTD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.42 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TTD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.42 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.07 -
$21.11
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($24.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.07 -
$21.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.06
Resistance Level
$23.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.89
Wall Street Target
$24.42
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.0%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.19
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.92
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$19.41
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$72.97
(+282%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$29.80
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 16.0%)
$25.33
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.88
Bull Case
$42.13
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$38.30
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$13.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$26.63
(+39.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TTD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Byron Donalds
SELL
2026-03-20
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Top Rated Advertising Agencies Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Advertising Agencies by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APP
Applovin Corp |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$650 | 56 HOLD |
|
MGNI
Magnite Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$22 | 58 HOLD |
|
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$13 | 56 HOLD |
|
NEXN
Nexxen International Ltd |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$13 | 64 BUY |
|
IAS
Integral Ad Science Hold… |
BUY
16 analysts |
$11 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced TTD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TTD price and gamma walls.
