TWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWIN - Twin Disc, Incorporated
$22.37
0.21 (0.95%)
▲
5d:
+12.53%
30d:
+39.9%
90d:
+41.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TWIN is 7.2% above its trading range ($20.86). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TWIN is 7.2% above its trading range ($20.86). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWIN is currently trading at $22.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.70 to $20.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $20.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TWIN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $20.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TWIN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.70 -
$20.86
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.7% growth expectation is conservative given 2239% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.70 -
$20.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.26
Resistance Level
$20.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.57
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2239.0%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 12.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.32
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$26.43
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$28.73
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 84.9%)
$99.24
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 84.9%)
$75.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 84.9%)
$58.78
(+163%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$17.79
(-20%)
Analyst growth -27.4%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$16.17
(-27%)
Market implied -27.4%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$15.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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