TWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TWIN - Twin Disc, Incorporated

GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$18.01
0.41 (2.33%) ▲
5d: +2.97%
30d: +19.83%
90d: -3.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TWIN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.73
13.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TWIN is currently trading at $18.01, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.08 to $18.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TWIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $16.08 - $18.20
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($24.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.08 - $18.20
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.01
Resistance Level $18.21
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.34
Wall Street Target $24.00 (+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2239.0%
Profit Margin 7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.8% premium
PE vs Historical 13.3 vs 12.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.33 (+2%)
2-Year Target $18.66 (+4%)
3-Year Target $19.00 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $18.09 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 84.9%) $99.83 (+454%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 84.9%) $60.78 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 11.3, Growth: 84.9%) $51.67 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case $13.67 (-21%)
Analyst growth -28.9%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case $12.43 (-28%)
Market implied -28.9%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case $11.89 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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