UBER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UBER - Uber Technologies, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$78.80
0.25 (0.32%) ▲
5d: +3.75%
30d: +14.35%
90d: +7.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 21, 2026 at $78.95 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UBER shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.62
22.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UBER is currently trading at $78.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.69 to $76.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 85.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UBER is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: UBER scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.50 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $69.69 - $76.40
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($101.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $69.69 - $76.40
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $73.97
Resistance Level $80.22
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.01
Wall Street Target $101.50 (+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 85.5%
Profit Margin 17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.0 vs 18.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $76.82 (-2%)
2-Year Target $75.13 (-4%)
3-Year Target $73.48 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→18) $78.62 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 40.7%) $258.41 (+229%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 40.7%) $219.01 (+179%)
Bear: (PE: 14.5, Growth: 40.7%) $186.16 (+137%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.56
Bull Case $86.93 (+10%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case $79.03 (+0%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case $53.07 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 18.2
Stabilization Target: $84.04 (+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.0%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Nikki Krishnamurthy SELL 30000 shares 2026-03-16

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Advanced UBER Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UBER price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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