UI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UI - Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock
$563.03
-16.42 (-2.83%)
▼
5d:
-2.04%
30d:
-3.97%
90d:
-30.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.0% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.0% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$646.46
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$401.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UI is currently trading at $563.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $566.88 to $601.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.7) compared to its historical average (44.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $541.69, while resistance sits at $610.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $826.00 (+46.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $541.69, while resistance sits at $610.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $826.00 (+46.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$566.88 -
$601.23
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.7% below Wall St target ($826.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$566.88 -
$601.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$541.69
Resistance Level
$610.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.67
Wall Street Target
$826.00
(+46.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.7 vs 44.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$506.73
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$456.05
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$410.45
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→45)
$562.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$812.29
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.0%)
$541.53
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.0%)
$460.30
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.53
Bull Case
$707.33
(+26%)
Analyst growth 11.0%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$643.03
(+14%)
Market implied 11.0%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$394.03
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.7 to 44.8
Stabilization Target:
$772.08
(+37.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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