UI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UI - Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock
$576.13
-12.44 (-2.11%)
▼
5d:
-5.54%
30d:
-42.62%
90d:
-27.84%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$646.46
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$401.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UI is currently trading at $576.13, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $570.96 to $933.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.4) compared to its historical average (46.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $560.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $826.00 (+43.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $560.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $826.00 (+43.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$570.96 -
$933.04
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.4% below Wall St target ($826.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$570.96 -
$933.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$560.71
Resistance Level
$623.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.43
Wall Street Target
$826.00
(+43.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.4 vs 46.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$518.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$466.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$420.00
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→46)
$577.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$831.19
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$544.76
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$463.05
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.55
Bull Case
$743.55
(+25%)
Analyst growth 10.8%, PE expands to 43.1
Base Case
$675.95
(+14%)
Market implied 10.8%, PE stable at 39.2
Bear Case
$414.73
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.4 to 46.0
Stabilization Target:
$792.76
(+37.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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