UI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UI - Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock
$559.00
-14.87 (-2.59%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.41%
30d:
+5.6%
90d:
-4.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 28, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$646.46
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$401.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UI is currently trading at $559.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $535.69 to $575.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.3) compared to its historical average (42.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $515.00, while resistance sits at $613.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $826.00 (+43.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $515.00, while resistance sits at $613.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $826.00 (+43.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$535.69 -
$575.68
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.9% below Wall St target ($826.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$535.69 -
$575.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$515.00
Resistance Level
$613.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.30
Wall Street Target
$826.00
(+43.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.3 vs 42.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$531.40
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$492.08
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$455.67
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â42)
$574.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.3, Growth: 13.0%)
$827.93
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.0%)
$499.01
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.0%)
$424.16
(-26%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.57
Bull Case
$719.19
(+29%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$653.81
(+17%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$401.66
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.3 to 42.0
Stabilization Target:
$723.83
(+26.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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