UI
Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock
RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
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Ubiquiti (UI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$679.42
-6.52 (-0.95%)
▼
5d:
+21.11%
30d:
+9.54%
90d:
+16.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$566.31 – $646.88
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
39.4x
FAIR
vs 40.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$758.50
+11.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$505.09 / $699.50
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$646.46
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$401.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UI is currently trading at $679.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $566.31 to $646.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.4) is in line with its historical norms (40.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $699.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $758.50 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $699.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $758.50 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$566.31 -
$646.88
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$566.31 -
$646.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$505.09
Resistance Level
$699.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($758.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.42
Wall Street Target
$758.50
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.2%
Profit Margin
30.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.4 vs 40.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$676.02
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$672.64
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$669.28
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→40)
$680.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$980.20
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$493.79
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$419.72
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 38.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.71
Bull Case
$734.25
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.7%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case
$667.50
(-2%)
Market implied -2.7%, PE stable at 38.7
Bear Case
$466.44
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.4 to 40.1
Stabilization Target:
$691.08
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share UI Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses regret for not buying back into $UI after selling at a lower price and wonders if the 'Pera Squeeze' is returning.
Key Retail Themes:
Buy-the-dip
Positive sentiment towards $UI
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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