Ubiquiti (UI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UI - Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock
$564.15
27.31 (5.09%)
â˛
5d:
-5.34%
30d:
-2.36%
90d:
-3.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$646.46
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$401.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UI is currently trading at $564.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $557.16 to $592.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.7) compared to its historical average (41.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $500.23, while resistance sits at $627.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: UI scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $734.50 (+30.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $500.23, while resistance sits at $627.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: UI scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $734.50 (+30.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$557.16 -
$592.91
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($734.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$557.16 -
$592.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$500.23
Resistance Level
$627.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.73
Wall Street Target
$734.50
(+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.7 vs 41.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$521.84
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$482.70
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$446.50
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â41)
$563.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$813.90
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.0%)
$501.50
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.0%)
$426.27
(-24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.32
Bull Case
$623.60
(+11%)
Analyst growth 5.6%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$566.91
(+1%)
Market implied 5.6%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$365.05
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.7 to 41.3
Stabilization Target:
$711.76
(+26.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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