Ubiquiti (UI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UI - Ubiquiti Inc. Common Stock
$595.62
-13.73 (-2.25%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.62%
30d:
+3.88%
90d:
+13.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$646.46
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$401.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UI is currently trading at $595.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $568.34 to $623.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.6) compared to its historical average (40.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $581.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UI scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $734.50 (+23.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $581.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UI scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $734.50 (+23.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$568.34 -
$623.50
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($734.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$568.34 -
$623.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$581.89
Resistance Level
$663.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.56
Wall Street Target
$734.50
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.6 vs 40.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$565.24
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$536.42
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$509.06
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35â40)
$595.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$859.30
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$493.79
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$419.72
(-30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.85
Bull Case
$728.81
(+22%)
Analyst growth 8.7%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$662.56
(+11%)
Market implied 8.7%, PE stable at 38.4
Bear Case
$414.36
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.6 to 40.4
Stabilization Target:
$696.25
(+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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