VIRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation
$5.99
0.05 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
+0.67%
30d:
-0.17%
90d:
+0.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $5.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.94 to $6.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $5.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIRC scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $5.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIRC scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.94 -
$6.11
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.94 -
$6.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.84
Resistance Level
$6.20
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.68
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.7%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.93
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$5.87
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$5.81
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$5.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$20.74
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$7.94
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 9.9%)
$6.75
(+13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.16
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 11:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
11678 shares
2026-04-15
Robert R Lind
BUY
500 shares
2026-04-15
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
4349 shares
2026-04-14
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