VIRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation
$6.15
0.10 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+1.82%
30d:
-2.84%
90d:
+1.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VIRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $6.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.00 to $6.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $6.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $6.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.00 -
$6.25
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.00 -
$6.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.79
Resistance Level
$6.17
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.76
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.7%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.01
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$5.97
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$5.92
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$6.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$21.44
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$8.02
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$6.82
(+13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.16
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 3:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
11678 shares
2026-04-15
Robert R Lind
BUY
500 shares
2026-04-15
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
4349 shares
2026-04-14
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