VMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$481.70
5.09 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
-13.83%
90d:
-5.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$755.32
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$468.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $481.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $494.17 to $565.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $455.10, while resistance sits at $545.04.
Market Sentiment: VMI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $455.10, while resistance sits at $545.04.
Market Sentiment: VMI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$494.17 -
$565.09
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($624.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$494.17 -
$565.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$455.10
Resistance Level
$545.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.63
Wall Street Target
$624.50
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$473.51
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$465.46
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$457.55
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$481.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.7%)
$766.78
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 12.7%)
$689.04
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 12.7%)
$585.68
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.74
Bull Case
$506.99
(+5%)
Analyst growth -3.3%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$460.90
(-4%)
Market implied -3.3%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$324.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$506.83
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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