VMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$485.83
4.16 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
-1.9%
30d:
-0.57%
90d:
-4.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$751.46
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$466.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $485.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $477.14 to $517.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $479.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $479.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$477.14 -
$517.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($624.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$477.14 -
$517.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$479.53
Resistance Level
$508.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.79
Wall Street Target
$624.50
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$479.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$473.28
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$467.13
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$484.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.7%)
$742.37
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 12.7%)
$694.95
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 12.7%)
$590.71
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.48
Bull Case
$537.71
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$488.82
(+1%)
Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$327.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$504.24
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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