HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$222.13
-5.98 (-2.62%)
▼
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-0.75%
90d:
-0.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$307.30
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $222.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $215.50 to $232.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $205.52, while resistance sits at $234.70.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $205.52, while resistance sits at $234.70.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$215.50 -
$232.00
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($246.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$215.50 -
$232.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$205.52
Resistance Level
$234.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.93
Wall Street Target
$246.67
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.9%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 19.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$228.79
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$229.48
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$230.17
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$227.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$321.08
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$293.80
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$249.73
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.25
Bull Case
$461.34
(+102%)
Analyst growth 83.1%, PE expands to 40.3
Base Case
$419.40
(+84%)
Market implied 83.1%, PE stable at 36.6
Bear Case
$155.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-19
D Scott Davis
SELL
2367 shares
2026-02-19
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