HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$215.90
-2.42 (-1.11%)
▼
5d:
-7.72%
30d:
-12.33%
90d:
-3.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HON shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HON shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$358.53
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.62
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $215.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $224.56 to $244.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $215.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.95 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $215.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.95 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$224.56 -
$244.54
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($262.95)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$224.56 -
$244.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$215.78
Resistance Level
$246.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.60
Wall Street Target
$262.95
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
263.9%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 20.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$220.00
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$224.18
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$228.44
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$215.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.6, Growth: 20.2%)
$375.09
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.2%)
$348.45
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.2%)
$296.18
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.61
Bull Case
$120.08
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$109.16
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$148.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-19
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