Honeywell International (HON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HON - Honeywell International, Inc.

AIRCRAFT ENGINES & ENGINE PARTS
$213.99
0.19 (0.09%) ▲
5d: +0.68%
30d: +3.84%
90d: -7.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HON is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$344.78
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$214.08
0.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $213.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.15 to $215.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $216.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HON scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $258.83 (+21.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $205.15 - $215.16
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($258.83)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $205.15 - $215.16
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $204.29
Resistance Level $216.13
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.71
Wall Street Target $258.83 (+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 263.9%
Profit Margin 21.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 21.7 vs 20.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $218.06 (+2%)
2-Year Target $222.20 (+4%)
3-Year Target $226.42 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→21) PE COMPRESSION $213.82 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.7, Growth: 18.8%) $359.07 (+68%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 18.8%) $337.43 (+58%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 18.8%) $286.82 (+34%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.36
Bull Case $117.59 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case $106.90 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case $145.38 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 04, 2026 2:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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