HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$222.25
-4.17 (-1.84%)
▼
5d:
-3.86%
30d:
+7.95%
90d:
-5.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$309.11
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$191.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $222.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.01 to $229.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $218.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $218.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$217.01 -
$229.98
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($243.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.0% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$217.01 -
$229.98
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$218.10
Resistance Level
$252.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.58
Wall Street Target
$243.70
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.9%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 19.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$240.01
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$254.41
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$269.67
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$226.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 16.6%)
$358.63
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.6%)
$331.24
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.6%)
$281.55
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.52
Bull Case
$188.48
(-17%)
Analyst growth -23.3%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$171.34
(-24%)
Market implied -23.3%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$151.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-19
D Scott Davis
SELL
2367 shares
2026-02-19
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