Is HON stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, HON is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HON shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of HON stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HON to be between $206.42 and $214.54. The current price is $221.15.

What is the analyst price target for HON?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HON is $254.23. This implies a potential upside of 15.0% from current levels.

Honeywell International (HON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HON - Honeywell International, Inc.

AIRCRAFT ENGINES & ENGINE PARTS

$221.15

2.84 (1.30%) ▲

5d: +4.61%

30d: +4.42%

90d: -10.01%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 22, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 22, 2026 at $215.53 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026

Strength: 5.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HON shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 18.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$340.41

Based on 11.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$211.37

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $221.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $206.42 to $214.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $223.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.23 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $206.42 - $214.54

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 49.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($254.23)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $206.42 - $214.54

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $205.20

Resistance Level $223.43

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.54

Wall Street Target $254.23 (+15.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 263.9%

Profit Margin 21.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium

PE vs Historical 22.5 vs 20.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $228.01 (+3%)

2-Year Target $235.07 (+6%)

3-Year Target $242.36 (+10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→21) PE COMPRESSION $221.53 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.5, Growth: 18.2%) $365.60 (+65%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.2%) $322.17 (+46%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.2%) $273.85 (+24%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 7.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.54

Bull Case $120.07 (-46%)

Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.7

Base Case $109.15 (-51%)

Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.9

Bear Case $148.45 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 24, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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