VMI
Valmont Industries, Inc.
FABRICATED STRUCTURAL METAL PRODUCTS
Valmont Industries (VMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$423.38
+4.47 (+1.07%)
▲
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
-9.36%
90d:
-14.11%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$421.29 – $465.54
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.2x
CHEAP
vs 19.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$610.75
+44.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$396.27 / $441.62
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VMI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.4% annual earnings decline despite 25% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$747.98
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$464.43
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $423.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $421.29 to $465.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $396.27, while resistance sits at $441.62.
Market Sentiment: VMI scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $610.75 (+44.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $396.27, while resistance sits at $441.62.
Market Sentiment: VMI scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $610.75 (+44.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$421.29 -
$465.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$421.29 -
$465.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$396.27
Resistance Level
$441.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($610.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 85/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.15
Wall Street Target
$610.75
(+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$400.52
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$378.89
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$358.43
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$423.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$747.44
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$607.75
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$516.59
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.87
Bull Case
$449.62
(+6%)
Analyst growth -2.4%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$408.75
(-4%)
Market implied -2.4%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$284.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$500.77
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VMI)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Valmont Industries (VMI) reported Q2 earnings beating estimates, driven by strong utility sales and raised FY26 view. The stock is seeing bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Operational execution
Strong Q2 results
Raised FY26 view
Utility sales growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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