Valmont Industries (VMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$468.28
5.30 (1.14%)
â˛
5d:
+0.63%
30d:
+0.07%
90d:
-15.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$759.63
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$471.67
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $468.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $467.16 to $478.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $458.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+33.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $458.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+33.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$467.16 -
$478.99
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($624.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$467.16 -
$478.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$458.36
Resistance Level
$481.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.03
Wall Street Target
$624.50
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 19.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$457.04
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$446.07
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$435.37
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â19)
$468.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$769.12
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 13.2%)
$679.59
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$577.65
(+23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.60
Bull Case
$516.82
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$469.84
(+0%)
Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$314.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$503.99
(+7.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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