VMI Valmont Industries, Inc. FABRICATED STRUCTURAL METAL PRODUCTS

Valmont Industries (VMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$423.38
+4.47 (+1.07%) ▲
5d: -3.31% 30d: -9.36% 90d: -14.11%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$421.29 – $465.54
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.2x CHEAP
vs 19.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$610.75
+44.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$396.27 / $441.62
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VMI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.4% annual earnings decline despite 25% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$747.98
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$464.43
8.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $423.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $421.29 to $465.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $396.27, while resistance sits at $441.62.

Market Sentiment: VMI scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $610.75 (+44.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $421.29 - $465.54
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $421.29 - $465.54
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $396.27
Resistance Level $441.62
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($610.75)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 85/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.15
Wall Street Target $610.75 (+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.3%
Profit Margin 12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.2 vs 19.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $400.52 (-5%)
2-Year Target $378.89 (-11%)
3-Year Target $358.43 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→19) $423.95 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.8%) $747.44 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 12.8%) $607.75 (+44%)
Bear: (PE: 13.7, Growth: 12.8%) $516.59 (+22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.87
Bull Case $449.62 (+6%)
Analyst growth -2.4%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case $408.75 (-4%)
Market implied -2.4%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case $284.86 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 19.1
Stabilization Target: $500.77 (+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VMI)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Valmont Industries (VMI) reported Q2 earnings beating estimates, driven by strong utility sales and raised FY26 view. The stock is seeing bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes: Operational execution Strong Q2 results Raised FY26 view Utility sales growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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