Valmont Industries (VMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$483.44
6.41 (1.34%)
â˛
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
-1.92%
90d:
-8.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$763.54
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$474.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $483.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $474.40 to $494.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $489.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $489.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $624.50 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$474.40 -
$494.78
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($624.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$474.40 -
$494.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$461.97
Resistance Level
$489.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.61
Wall Street Target
$624.50
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$476.19
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$469.05
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$462.01
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â20)
$484.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.2%)
$760.45
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 13.2%)
$701.59
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 13.2%)
$596.35
(+23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.38
Bull Case
$537.12
(+11%)
Analyst growth 2.4%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$488.29
(+1%)
Market implied 2.4%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$324.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$506.59
(+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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