VMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$539.79
-7.04 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
-4.3%
30d:
+5.38%
90d:
+26.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VMI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VMI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$746.69
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$463.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $539.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $535.21 to $570.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $548.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $611.25 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $548.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $611.25 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$535.21 -
$570.82
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($611.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$535.21 -
$570.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$505.06
Resistance Level
$548.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.02
Wall Street Target
$611.25
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$552.74
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$566.01
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$579.60
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$540.43
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$795.36
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$767.63
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$652.48
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.21
Bull Case
$848.08
(+55%)
Analyst growth 41.0%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$770.98
(+41%)
Market implied 41.0%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$371.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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