VMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMI - Valmont Industries, Inc.
$571.29
-11.71 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
+5.67%
30d:
+12.88%
90d:
+43.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VMI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: VMI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$728.85
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$452.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMI is currently trading at $571.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $509.87 to $556.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (19.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $548.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $548.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$509.87 -
$556.23
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($591.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$509.87 -
$556.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$505.06
Resistance Level
$548.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.75
Wall Street Target
$591.25
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 19.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$615.65
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$650.12
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$686.53
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$582.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$824.24
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.2%)
$789.18
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.2%)
$670.81
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.96
Bull Case
$895.23
(+54%)
Analyst growth 42.7%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$813.84
(+40%)
Market implied 42.7%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$387.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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