3M (MMM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMM - 3M Company
$163.02
-1.13 (-0.69%)
▼
5d:
-2.69%
30d:
-4.24%
90d:
+1.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.98
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMM is currently trading at $163.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.58 to $173.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $162.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.98 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $162.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.98 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$163.58 -
$173.97
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MMM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($186.98)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$163.58 -
$173.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$162.32
Resistance Level
$170.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.58
Wall Street Target
$186.98
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.8%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$159.45
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$157.70
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$162.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$266.28
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$216.48
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$184.01
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.63
Bull Case
$315.25
(+93%)
Analyst growth 74.6%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$286.59
(+76%)
Market implied 74.6%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$111.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$168.09
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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