Is MMM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MMM is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MMM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MMM to be between $161.77 and $168.76. The current price is $174.74.

What is the analyst price target for MMM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MMM is $186.32. This implies a potential upside of 6.6% from current levels.

3M (MMM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MMM - 3M Company

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

$174.74

3.37 (1.97%) ▲

5d: +6.25%

30d: +3.21%

90d: +3.04%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MMM Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 20, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 13, 2026 at $162.77 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 9.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$231.33

Based on 6.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$143.64

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MMM is currently trading at $174.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.77 to $168.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $174.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MMM scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $161.77 - $168.76

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($186.32)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $161.77 - $168.76

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $159.21

Resistance Level $174.77

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.73

Wall Street Target $186.32 (+6.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 32.8%

Profit Margin 11.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium

PE vs Historical 17.7 vs 17.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $176.84 (+1%)

2-Year Target $178.96 (+2%)

3-Year Target $181.11 (+4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→17) PE COMPRESSION $174.71 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.1%) $254.03 (+45%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 9.1%) $226.73 (+30%)

Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: 9.1%) $192.72 (+10%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 28.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.96

Bull Case $311.79 (+78%)

Analyst growth 65.4%, PE expands to 31.6

Base Case $283.45 (+62%)

Market implied 65.4%, PE stable at 28.8

Bear Case $116.53 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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