PAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAM - PAMPA ENERGIA S.A.
$79.52
0.13 (0.16%)
▲
5d:
+0.75%
30d:
-10.58%
90d:
-2.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When PAM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.07
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.39
2.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAM is currently trading at $79.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.95 to $86.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 333.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $78.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.77 (+52.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $78.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.77 (+52.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.95 -
$86.72
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.1% below Wall St target ($120.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.95 -
$86.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.05
Resistance Level
$84.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.66
Wall Street Target
$120.77
(+52.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
333.3%
Profit Margin
23.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.80
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$76.25
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$74.72
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$79.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$358.71
(+352%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$119.01
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$101.16
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.03
Bull Case
$94.22
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.1%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$85.65
(+8%)
Market implied 8.1%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$53.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$84.65
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1500000 shares
2026-04-22
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1250000 shares
2026-04-20
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1675000 shares
2026-04-16
Top Rated Conglomerates Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Conglomerates by analyst ratings.
