PAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAM - PAMPA ENERGIA S.A.
$88.32
-0.37 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+2.39%
30d:
+10.47%
90d:
+6.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$142.24
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAM is currently trading at $88.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.86 to $86.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $90.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.32 (+36.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $90.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.32 (+36.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.86 -
$86.55
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($120.32)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.86 -
$86.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.61
Resistance Level
$90.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.14
Wall Street Target
$120.32
(+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.9%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.41
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$88.50
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$88.59
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.4%)
$404.84
(+358%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 16.4%)
$139.37
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 16.4%)
$118.47
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.60
Bull Case
$140.39
(+59%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$127.63
(+45%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$60.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1500000 shares
2026-04-22
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1250000 shares
2026-04-20
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1675000 shares
2026-04-16
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