PAMPA ENERGIA (PAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAM - PAMPA ENERGIA S.A.
$76.75
0.66 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
-1.37%
30d:
-11.19%
90d:
-6.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Get Alerted When PAM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.11
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAM is currently trading at $76.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.42 to $85.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 333.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $75.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.09 (+59.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $75.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.09 (+59.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$78.42 -
$85.55
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.1% below Wall St target ($121.09)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.42 -
$85.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.00
Resistance Level
$83.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.48
Wall Street Target
$121.09
(+59.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
333.3%
Profit Margin
23.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.88
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$71.74
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$69.66
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$76.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$323.34
(+325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$102.76
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$87.34
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.14
Bull Case
$90.13
(+18%)
Analyst growth 5.4%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case
$81.93
(+8%)
Market implied 5.4%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case
$52.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$83.33
(+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1500000 shares
2026-04-22
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1250000 shares
2026-04-20
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1675000 shares
2026-04-16
Top Rated Conglomerates Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Conglomerates by analyst ratings.
