PAMPA ENERGIA (PAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAM - PAMPA ENERGIA S.A.
$77.90
-0.02 (-0.03%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.21%
30d:
-3.03%
90d:
-9.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.75
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAM is currently trading at $77.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.56 to $82.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 333.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAM scores 12/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.64 (+54.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAM scores 12/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.64 (+54.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$77.56 -
$82.89
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (12/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.9% below Wall St target ($120.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.56 -
$82.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.64
Resistance Level
$82.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.64
Wall Street Target
$120.64
(+54.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
333.3%
Profit Margin
23.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 7.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.34
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$74.82
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$73.32
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
$77.26
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$309.54
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$103.54
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$88.01
(+13%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.00
Bull Case
$91.37
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.6%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$83.07
(+7%)
Market implied 6.6%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$52.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$82.09
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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