PAMPA ENERGIA (PAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$63.56
-0.19 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-1.97%
30d:
-21.86%
90d:
-19.66%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$68.44 – $81.50
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.3x
CHEAP
vs 7.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$120.64
+89.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$62.65 / $75.70
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.06
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.34
7.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAM is currently trading at $63.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.44 to $81.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.3) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 378.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAM scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.64 (+89.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAM scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.64 (+89.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.44 -
$81.50
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$68.44 -
$81.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$62.65
Resistance Level
$75.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 89.8% below Wall St target ($120.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.31
Wall Street Target
$120.64
(+89.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
378.5%
Profit Margin
25.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.3 vs 7.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.03
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$52.98
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$48.37
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$63.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$293.19
(+361%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$78.35
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 7.2%)
$66.60
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.50
Bull Case
$67.19
(+6%)
Analyst growth -4.2%, PE expands to 5.6
Base Case
$61.08
(-4%)
Market implied -4.2%, PE stable at 5.1
Bear Case
$43.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.3 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$83.84
(+31.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PAM)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
May 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on PAM are bullish (sentiment score +0.15) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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