PAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAM - PAMPA ENERGIA S.A.
$83.43
0.43 (0.52%)
▲
5d:
+1.31%
30d:
-0.2%
90d:
-4.41%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.6% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.6% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$192.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$119.68
30.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAM is currently trading at $83.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.80 to $85.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $79.39, while resistance sits at $89.29.
Market Sentiment: PAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.50 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $79.39, while resistance sits at $89.29.
Market Sentiment: PAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.50 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$80.80 -
$85.68
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($116.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.80 -
$85.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.40
Resistance Level
$89.29
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.04
Wall Street Target
$116.50
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.9%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 7.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.35
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$73.96
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$69.82
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$83.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.5%)
$591.56
(+613%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 25.5%)
$163.98
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 25.5%)
$139.38
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.12
Bull Case
$151.24
(+82%)
Analyst growth 69.3%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$137.49
(+66%)
Market implied 69.3%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$55.22
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$98.98
(+19.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1500000 shares
2026-04-22
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1250000 shares
2026-04-20
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1675000 shares
2026-04-16
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