VRSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock
$190.64
5.25 (2.83%)
▲
5d:
+1.52%
30d:
+4.1%
90d:
+16.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VRSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VRSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$307.74
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$191.08
0.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $190.64, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.41 to $186.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.47 (+18.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.47 (+18.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$176.41 -
$186.36
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($220.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$176.41 -
$186.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$166.81
Resistance Level
$184.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.38
Wall Street Target
$220.47
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$179.27
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$173.36
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$167.64
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$185.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.1%)
$273.34
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 13.1%)
$268.32
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 13.1%)
$228.07
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.47
Bull Case
$275.69
(+49%)
Analyst growth 34.0%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$250.63
(+35%)
Market implied 34.0%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$127.17
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$204.64
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-03-17
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