VRSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
$187.50
-0.18 (-0.10%) ▼
5d: +3.21%
30d: -2.94%
90d: +9.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VRSK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$303.95
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$188.73
0.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $187.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.21 to $202.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $189.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VRSK scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $237.71 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $183.21 - $202.19
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($237.71)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $183.21 - $202.19
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $174.44
Resistance Level $189.95
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.56
Wall Street Target $237.71 (+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.4%
Profit Margin 28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.6 vs 23.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $182.62 (-3%)
2-Year Target $177.88 (-5%)
3-Year Target $173.25 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→23) $188.03 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.6, Growth: 12.8%) $269.18 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.8%) $250.57 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.8%) $212.98 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.55
Bull Case $274.10 (+46%)
Analyst growth 32.8%, PE expands to 31.5
Base Case $249.18 (+33%)
Market implied 32.8%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case $127.62 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 23.4
Stabilization Target: $203.49 (+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.5%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann SELL 400 shares 2026-04-15
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Elizabeth Mann SELL 400 shares 2026-03-17

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