VRSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock
$194.85
-5.50 (-2.75%)
▼
5d:
-3.22%
30d:
+6.06%
90d:
+5.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VRSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VRSK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$306.07
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $194.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.59 to $201.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $189.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $237.12 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $189.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $237.12 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$180.59 -
$201.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($237.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.59 -
$201.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$189.72
Resistance Level
$226.08
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.45
Wall Street Target
$237.12
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$191.73
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$188.66
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$185.65
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→24)
$194.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$281.08
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$259.58
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$220.64
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.11
Bull Case
$313.10
(+61%)
Analyst growth 42.1%, PE expands to 36.1
Base Case
$284.63
(+46%)
Market implied 42.1%, PE stable at 32.8
Bear Case
$136.24
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$203.99
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-03-17
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