VTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTR - Ventas, Inc.
$85.37
2.33 (2.81%)
▲
5d:
+2.29%
30d:
-2.99%
90d:
+4.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $85.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.23 to $87.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 98.1) is in line with its historical norms (106.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.08, while resistance sits at $88.94.
Market Sentiment: VTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.90 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.08, while resistance sits at $88.94.
Market Sentiment: VTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.90 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$81.23 -
$87.39
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($96.90)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.23 -
$87.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.08
Resistance Level
$88.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
98.07
Wall Street Target
$96.90
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
98.1 vs 106.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.80
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$78.62
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$76.49
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 98→107)
$83.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 98.1, Growth: 58.3%)
$280.26
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 58.3%)
$62.24
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 58.3%)
$52.90
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (133x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (98x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 133.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.62
Bull Case
$100.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 140.0
Base Case
$83.04
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 133.3
Bear Case
$63.53
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 120.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 98.1 to 106.6
Stabilization Target:
$90.26
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carey S Roberts
SELL
35532 shares
2026-02-11
Debra A Cafaro
SELL
10322 shares
2026-02-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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