VTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTR - Ventas, Inc.
$90.85
-2.66 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
-9.25%
30d:
-1.81%
90d:
+3.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $90.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.06 to $97.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 111.2) is in line with its historical norms (107.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$90.06 -
$97.16
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($99.68)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 21.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.06 -
$97.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.27
Resistance Level
$101.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
111.24
Wall Street Target
$99.68
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
111.2 vs 107.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$93.23
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$94.44
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 111→107)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.92
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 111.2, Growth: 33.9%)
$218.03
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 33.9%)
$40.63
(-55%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 33.9%)
$34.54
(-62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (154x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (111x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 153.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.59
Bull Case
$109.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 161.5
Base Case
$90.85
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 153.9
Bear Case
$69.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 138.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 11:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carey S Roberts
SELL
35532 shares
2026-02-11
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