CareTrust REIT (CTRE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$38.61
-0.23 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+1.74%
30d:
+5.61%
90d:
-0.57%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect CTRE Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$35.79 – $37.64
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.6x
FAIR
vs 22.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.64
+13.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$35.71 / $39.01
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTRE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When CTRE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.60
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRE is currently trading at $38.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.79 to $37.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTRE scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.64 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTRE scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.64 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.79 -
$37.64
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$35.79 -
$37.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$35.71
Resistance Level
$39.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.56
Wall Street Target
$43.64
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Profit Margin
59.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 22.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.61
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$36.63
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$35.68
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$38.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$50.51
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$48.78
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$41.46
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.59
Bull Case
$50.45
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$45.86
(+19%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$26.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 22.2
Stabilization Target:
$41.68
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share CTRE Analysis
Share this live CTRE analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CTRE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message highlights the presence of strong institutional support for $CTRE, with the stock currently testing major EMA support levels following a recent all-time high. No new news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
institutional support
price testing key support levels
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CTRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Healthcare Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Healthcare Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VTR
Ventas Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$99 | 40 HOLD |
|
WELL
Welltower Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$262 | 37 SELL |
|
AHR
American Healthcare REIT… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$64 | 36 SELL |
|
DOC
Healthpeak Properties Inc |
HOLD
22 analysts |
$22 | 43 HOLD |
|
OHI
Omega Healthcare Investo… |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$51 | 39 SELL |
Advanced CTRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTRE price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive CTRE Research Pages
