WAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAY - Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
$18.41
1.10 (6.35%)
▲
5d:
-0.75%
30d:
-2.26%
90d:
-25.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.89
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.77
25.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAY is currently trading at $18.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.22 to $20.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.26, while resistance sits at $19.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: WAY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.83 (+95.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.26, while resistance sits at $19.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: WAY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.83 (+95.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.22 -
$20.08
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 95.4% below Wall St target ($33.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.22 -
$20.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.26
Resistance Level
$19.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.38
Wall Street Target
$33.83
(+95.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.5%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.58
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.02
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→15)
$19.65
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$57.12
(+230%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$24.59
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$20.90
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$40.63
(+135%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$36.94
(+113%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$12.56
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$26.95
(+55.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric L (Ric) Sinclair III
SELL
40225 shares
2026-01-20
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