WSO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WSO - Watsco, Inc.
$393.71
9.85 (2.57%)
▲
5d:
-1.34%
30d:
+4.8%
90d:
-3.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WSO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WSO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$463.23
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$287.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WSO is currently trading at $393.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $379.04 to $405.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.7) is in line with its historical norms (27.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WSO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $392.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WSO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $392.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$379.04 -
$405.09
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($430.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 0.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$379.04 -
$405.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$355.14
Resistance Level
$392.53
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.69
Wall Street Target
$430.20
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
28.7 vs 27.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$397.25
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$400.83
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$404.44
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$393.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.7, Growth: 8.4%)
$501.75
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$380.92
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$323.78
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.21
Bull Case
$474.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$431.45
(+10%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$261.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WSO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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