WSO
Watsco, Inc.
WHOLESALE-HARDWARE & PLUMBING & HEATING EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
Watsco (WSO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$308.46
+0.22 (+0.07%)
â˛
5d:
+1.35%
30d:
+2.99%
90d:
-1.09%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$290.57 â $314.92
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.0x
FAIR
vs 26.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$346.20
+12.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$300.40 / $328.53
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WSO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$466.26
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$289.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WSO is currently trading at $308.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $290.57 to $314.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.0) is in line with its historical norms (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WSO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $300.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $346.20 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WSO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $300.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $346.20 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$290.57 -
$314.92
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$290.57 -
$314.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$300.40
Resistance Level
$328.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($346.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.04
Wall Street Target
$346.20
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 26.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$298.59
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$289.03
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$279.79
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â27)
$308.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: 11.6%)
$428.59
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.6%)
$354.07
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.6%)
$300.96
(-2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.49
Bull Case
$378.64
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.7%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$344.22
(+12%)
Market implied 11.7%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$209.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$340.03
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share WSO Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WSO)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Despite quiet outperformance in the HVAC distributor sector over the past decade, $WSO reported a miss on EPS in Q1 2023, leading to bearish sentiment on StockTwits. The latest article highlights the resilience of replacement demand in the HVAC market, making Watsco an essential business.
Key Retail Themes:
Growth potential of HVAC distributors
Resilience of replacement demand
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WSO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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