XMTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XMTR - Xometry, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$85.72
0.81 (0.95%) ▲
5d: -0.68%
30d: -10.5%
90d: +67.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 TODAY

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XMTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XMTR is currently trading at $85.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.18 to $98.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.7) is in line with its historical norms (63.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.64, while resistance sits at $106.08.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.25 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $87.18 - $98.58
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 67th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 67th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($96.25)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $87.18 - $98.58
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$14.33 (16.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $80.64
Resistance Level $106.08
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 62.72
Wall Street Target $96.25 (+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.9%
Profit Margin -7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 62.7 vs 63.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $85.21 (-1%)
2-Year Target $84.69 (-1%)
3-Year Target $84.19 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 63→64) $85.78 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 62.7, Growth: 88.2%) $289.30 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 88.2%) $95.63 (+12%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 88.2%) $81.28 (-5%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 62.7 to 63.9
Stabilization Target: $87.34 (+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.9%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Emily Rollins SELL 1000 shares 2026-04-01
Katharine Weymouth BUY 1215 shares 2026-02-27
James Miln SELL 15103 shares 2026-02-26

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