ZG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$36.78
0.21 (0.57%)
â˛
5d:
+4.61%
30d:
+24.42%
90d:
-1.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.59
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $36.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.89 to $35.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.79, while resistance sits at $38.15.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.79, while resistance sits at $38.15.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.89 -
$35.43
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($47.23)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.89 -
$35.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.79
Resistance Level
$38.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.50
Wall Street Target
$47.23
(+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$29.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$26.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â18)
$37.74
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 29.1%)
$126.39
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 29.1%)
$78.75
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 29.1%)
$66.94
(+83%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.30
Bull Case
$44.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$36.78
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$28.14
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$51.77
(+41.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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