ZILLOW GROUP (ZG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$28.10
-0.32 (-1.11%)
▼
5d:
-4.11%
30d:
-20.73%
90d:
-14.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ZG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.37
52.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $28.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.22 to $36.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.25, while resistance sits at $32.23.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+66.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.25, while resistance sits at $32.23.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+66.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.22 -
$36.08
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.2% below Wall St target ($47.23)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 36% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.22 -
$36.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.25
Resistance Level
$32.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.72
Wall Street Target
$47.23
(+66.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.57
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→17)
$35.79
(+26%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 28.9%)
$127.78
(+350%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 28.9%)
$60.89
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 28.9%)
$51.76
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.87
Bull Case
$34.31
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$28.41
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$21.73
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$49.10
(+72.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+72.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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