ZG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$30.56
0.10 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-6.49%
30d:
-17.96%
90d:
-31.65%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ZG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.81
57.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $30.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.85 to $37.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.86 (+105.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.86 (+105.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.85 -
$37.06
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 105.7% below Wall St target ($62.86)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.85 -
$37.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.50
Resistance Level
$38.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.03
Wall Street Target
$62.86
(+105.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$24.75
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.28
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→20)
$43.29
(+42%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.5%)
$151.00
(+394%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 31.5%)
$69.57
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 31.5%)
$59.13
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.26
Bull Case
$36.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$30.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$23.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$59.39
(+94.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+94.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Hofmann
SELL
7786 shares
2026-02-18
Dan Spaulding
SELL
5361 shares
2026-02-17
Jeremy Wacksman
SELL
13661 shares
2026-02-17
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