ZG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$34.69
0.64 (1.88%)
▲
5d:
+13.07%
30d:
+6.25%
90d:
-22.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ZG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ZG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.71
48.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $34.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.77 to $33.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.77 (+78.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.77 (+78.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.77 -
$33.63
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 78.1% below Wall St target ($61.77)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.77 -
$33.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.35
Resistance Level
$35.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.38
Wall Street Target
$61.77
(+78.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$28.10
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→18)
$40.22
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 31.9%)
$144.85
(+318%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 31.9%)
$79.52
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 31.9%)
$67.59
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.27
Bull Case
$41.89
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$34.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$26.54
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$55.17
(+59.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Hofmann
SELL
7786 shares
2026-02-18
Dan Spaulding
SELL
5361 shares
2026-02-17
Jeremy Wacksman
SELL
13661 shares
2026-02-17
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