ZILLOW GROUP (ZG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$33.23
1.35 (4.23%)
▲
5d:
-7.8%
30d:
-0.78%
90d:
+0.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ZG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ZG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.21
45.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $33.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.27 to $36.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.75, while resistance sits at $37.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+42.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.75, while resistance sits at $37.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+42.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.27 -
$36.83
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($47.23)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.27 -
$36.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.75
Resistance Level
$37.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.36
Wall Street Target
$47.23
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.92
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.22
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→17)
$36.90
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 29.2%)
$127.15
(+283%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 29.2%)
$71.59
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 29.2%)
$60.85
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.93
Bull Case
$40.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$33.23
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$25.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$50.62
(+52.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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