ZILLOW GROUP (ZG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$29.77
+0.26 (+0.88%)
▲
5d:
-13.58%
30d:
+3.19%
90d:
-17.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$29.29 – $33.25
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.5x
CHEAP
vs 16.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$39.62
+33.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.90 / $34.76
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ZG is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.16
35.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $29.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.29 to $33.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.62 (+33.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.62 (+33.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$29.29 -
$33.25
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$29.29 -
$33.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$28.90
Resistance Level
$34.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.1% below Wall St target ($39.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.48
Wall Street Target
$39.62
(+33.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
-4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 16.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.39
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$25.20
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$23.18
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$29.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.1%)
$92.84
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 25.1%)
$58.33
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 25.1%)
$49.58
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.88
Bull Case
$37.69
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$31.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$23.88
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$38.18
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ZG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 15, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $ZG with one user expressing optimism and suggesting a swing trade opportunity.
Key Retail Themes:
bullish sentiment
swing trade opportunity
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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