ZG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$31.94
-0.06 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-3.07%
30d:
-6.33%
90d:
-20.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ZG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.6% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ZG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.6% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.86
53.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $31.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.16 to $35.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.91 (+97.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.91 (+97.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.16 -
$35.22
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 97.0% below Wall St target ($62.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.16 -
$35.22
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.50
Resistance Level
$38.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.49
Wall Street Target
$62.91
(+97.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.87
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.28
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→19)
$41.52
(+30%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.5%)
$151.00
(+373%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 31.5%)
$72.71
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 31.5%)
$61.80
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.22 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.25
Bull Case
$38.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$31.94
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$24.43
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$56.95
(+78.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+78.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
7786 shares
2026-02-18
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SELL
5361 shares
2026-02-17
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13661 shares
2026-02-17
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