ZILLOW GROUP (ZG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$35.14
2.73 (8.42%)
▲
5d:
+8.36%
30d:
+19.73%
90d:
+14.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ZG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ZG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.32
39.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $35.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.25 to $32.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.41 (+32.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZG scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.41 (+32.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.25 -
$32.34
Company Quality Score
25/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.1% below Wall St target ($46.41)
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.25 -
$32.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.76
Resistance Level
$35.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$46.41
(+32.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.63
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$28.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$35.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.1%)
$132.53
(+277%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 31.1%)
$79.24
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 31.1%)
$67.36
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.08
Bull Case
$42.43
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$35.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$26.88
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$48.23
(+37.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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