CTO Realty Growth (CTO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTO - CTO Realty Growth, Inc.
$20.71
-0.12 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
-5.22%
90d:
-0.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.49
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTO is currently trading at $20.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.32 to $21.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.4) compared to its historical average (69.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1200.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.60 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.60 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.32 -
$21.96
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.32 -
$21.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.65
Resistance Level
$21.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.40
Wall Street Target
$24.60
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1200.1%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.4 vs 69.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.64
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.78
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→70)
$31.59
(+53%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.4, Growth: -12.1%)
$15.10
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -12.1%)
$9.12
(-56%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -12.1%)
$7.75
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$11.46
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$10.42
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$14.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.4 to 69.9
Stabilization Target:
$43.34
(+109.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+109.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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