VICI Properties (VICI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock
$22.73
-0.24 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-11.0%
90d:
-16.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
27d
Get Alerted When VICI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VICI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VICI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.21
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.73
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $22.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.59 to $25.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VICI scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.96 (+39.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VICI scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.96 (+39.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.59 -
$25.79
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VICI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.1% below Wall St target ($31.96)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.59 -
$25.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.54
Resistance Level
$24.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.68
Wall Street Target
$31.96
(+39.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.4%
Profit Margin
67.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 9.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.43
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$20.00
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$18.66
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$22.83
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$78.40
(+241%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$29.52
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 8.7%)
$25.10
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58
Bull Case
$29.58
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.9%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$26.89
(+17%)
Market implied 15.9%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$15.78
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$28.11
(+22.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VICI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
VICI is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated REIT - Diversified Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Diversified by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CTO
CTO Realty Growth Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$25 | 56 HOLD |
|
SAFE
Safehold Inc |
BUY
11 analysts |
$18 | 49 HOLD |
|
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease Inc |
HOLD
11 analysts |
$24 | 48 HOLD |
|
FVR
FrontView REIT, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$22 | 40 HOLD |
|
ESRT
Empire State Realty Trus… |
HOLD
7 analysts |
$5 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced VICI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VICI price and gamma walls.
