Is VICI stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, VICI is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VICI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of VICI stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for VICI to be between $25.45 and $26.52. The current price is $24.82.

What is the analyst price target for VICI?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for VICI is $32.33. This implies a potential upside of 30.7% from current levels.

VICI Properties (VICI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

$24.83

0.09 (0.38%) ▲

5d: -3.22%

30d: -4.78%

90d: -11.62%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your VICI Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 25, 2026 at $26.29 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VICI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$38.62

Based on 6.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$23.98

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $24.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.45 to $26.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VICI scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.33 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $25.45 - $26.52

Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($32.33)
WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $25.45 - $26.52

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.66

Resistance Level $25.97

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.27

Wall Street Target $32.33 (+30.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -41.4%

Profit Margin 67.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.3 vs 9.5 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $23.57 (-5%)

2-Year Target $22.46 (-9%)

3-Year Target $21.40 (-13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→10) $24.59 (-1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.7%) $77.52 (+214%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 8.7%) $31.79 (+29%)

Bear: (PE: 7.0, Growth: 8.7%) $27.02 (+9%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 9.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58

Bull Case $32.14 (+30%)

Analyst growth 15.9%, PE expands to 10.8

Base Case $29.22 (+18%)

Market implied 15.9%, PE stable at 9.8

Bear Case $17.14 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 9.5

Stabilization Target: $28.40 (+14.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +14.9%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23

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