VICI Properties (VICI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock
$23.15
-0.22 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
+0.92%
30d:
-3.46%
90d:
-12.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.81
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.48
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $23.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.73 to $24.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.38 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.38 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.73 -
$24.02
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VICI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($31.38)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.73 -
$24.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.50
Resistance Level
$23.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.74
Wall Street Target
$31.38
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.4%
Profit Margin
67.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.76
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$20.46
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$19.23
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$23.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$76.32
(+230%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$29.76
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 8.7%)
$25.29
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$29.91
(+29%)
Analyst growth 16.3%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$27.19
(+17%)
Market implied 16.3%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$15.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$27.81
(+20.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VICI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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