VICI Properties (VICI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.99
-0.17 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+2.33%
30d:
+8.51%
90d:
-4.14%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect VICI Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$22.85 – $24.62
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.4x
FAIR
vs 9.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$29.61
+18.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.36 / $25.73
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VICI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $24.16 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.40
25.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $24.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.85 to $24.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VICI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.61 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VICI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.61 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.85 -
$24.62
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$22.85 -
$24.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$23.36
Resistance Level
$25.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding VICI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.61)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.41
Wall Street Target
$29.61
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.3%
Profit Margin
56.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.22
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$23.46
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$22.74
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$25.13
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$120.60
(+383%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 26.9%)
$51.10
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 26.9%)
$43.43
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case
$38.05
(+52%)
Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$34.59
(+38%)
Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$17.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$27.62
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VICI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
VICI authorizes $2 billion share buyback program, a rare move for REITs according to a bullish trader on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
share buyback program
undervalued share price
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VICI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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