AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST (AAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAT - AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC.
$21.39
0.13 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
-4.55%
90d:
-16.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.97
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAT is currently trading at $21.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.46 to $22.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 57.8) compared to its historical average (50.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AAT scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AAT scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.46 -
$22.46
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.8% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.46 -
$22.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.03
Resistance Level
$22.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
57.81
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
57.8 vs 50.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.42
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$23.49
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$24.62
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 58→50)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 57.8, Growth: -5.1%)
$18.27
(+-15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -5.1%)
$6.45
(-70%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -5.1%)
$5.48
(-74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (71x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (58x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 70.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$28.84
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 78.0
Base Case
$26.22
(+23%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 70.9
Bear Case
$14.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 60.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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