AAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAT - AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC.
$23.59
-0.44 (-1.83%)
▼
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
-6.46%
90d:
+13.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AAT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AAT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.97
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAT is currently trading at $23.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.24 to $25.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 63.8) compared to its historical average (47.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.24 -
$25.39
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.3% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.24 -
$25.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.08
Resistance Level
$25.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
63.76
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(-0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.3% premium
PE vs Historical
63.8 vs 47.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.02
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$28.70
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$31.66
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 64→48)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 63.8, Growth: -5.1%)
$20.14
(+-15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -5.1%)
$6.55
(-72%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -5.1%)
$5.57
(-76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (80x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (64x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 80.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$32.60
(+38%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 88.1
Base Case
$29.64
(+26%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 80.1
Bear Case
$16.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 68.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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