AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST (AAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.40
-0.15 (-0.70%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.12%
30d:
-1.29%
90d:
-6.79%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$21.08 â $21.86
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
58.2x
FAIR
vs 51.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.50
+9.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$21.13 / $22.46
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AAT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.72
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAT is currently trading at $21.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.08 to $21.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 58.2) compared to its historical average (51.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.08 -
$21.86
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.08 -
$21.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$21.13
Resistance Level
$22.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
58.24
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.9%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
58.2 vs 51.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$23.49
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$24.52
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 58â51)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 58.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$25.46
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$8.68
(-60%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$7.38
(-66%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (62x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (58x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 61.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$25.22
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.7%, PE expands to 68.2
Base Case
$22.93
(+6%)
Market implied 5.7%, PE stable at 62.0
Bear Case
$14.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 52.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AAT)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Jul 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on AAT are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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