AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST (AAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAT - AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC.
$20.47
-0.28 (-1.35%)
▼
5d:
-3.44%
30d:
-7.0%
90d:
-15.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.72
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAT is currently trading at $20.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.10 to $21.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 55.3) is in line with its historical norms (50.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AAT scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AAT scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.10 -
$21.85
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.10 -
$21.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.39
Resistance Level
$21.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
55.32
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
55.3 vs 50.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.08
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$21.72
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$22.37
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→51)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 55.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$24.18
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$8.68
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$7.38
(-64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (72x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (55x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 71.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$29.12
(+42%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 78.7
Base Case
$26.47
(+29%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 71.6
Bear Case
$14.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 60.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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