AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST (AAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AAT - AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$21.50
0.12 (0.56%) ▲
5d: -2.98%
30d: -4.7%
90d: -12.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.97
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.57
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AAT is currently trading at $21.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.03 to $22.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 58.1) compared to its historical average (49.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: AAT scores 6/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $22.03 - $22.97
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (6/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.03 - $22.97
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.38
Resistance Level $22.73
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 58.11
Wall Street Target $23.50 (+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.4%
Profit Margin 4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.4% premium
PE vs Historical 58.1 vs 49.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.66 (+5%)
2-Year Target $23.88 (+11%)
3-Year Target $25.17 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 58→50) PE COMPRESSION $21.49 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 58.1, Growth: -5.1%) $18.36 (+-15%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -5.1%) $6.37 (-70%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -5.1%) $5.42 (-75%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (71x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (58x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 71.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case $29.01 (+35%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 78.4
Base Case $26.37 (+23%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 71.3
Bear Case $14.54 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 60.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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