Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$18.25
-0.25 (-1.35%)
▼
5d:
-3.44%
30d:
-12.34%
90d:
-14.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BNL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BNL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.02
Based on 0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $18.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.03 to $21.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.03 -
$21.04
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($23.70)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.03 -
$21.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.17
Resistance Level
$19.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.93
Wall Street Target
$23.70
(+29.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.7%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.01
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.78
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$17.55
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$18.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: -2.4%)
$16.97
(+-7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -2.4%)
$13.89
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -2.4%)
$11.81
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$19.86
(+9%)
Analyst growth -2.4%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$18.06
(-1%)
Market implied -2.4%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$12.58
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$18.96
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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