Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.85
+0.01 (+0.06%)
▲
5d:
-0.72%
30d:
-3.09%
90d:
-15.28%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (73%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$17.36 – $18.30
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.6x
FAIR
vs 26.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$22.50
+26.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.70 / $18.30
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: BNL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.63
Based on -2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $17.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.36 to $18.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.6) is in line with its historical norms (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.50 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.50 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.36 -
$18.30
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$17.36 -
$18.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$16.70
Resistance Level
$18.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($22.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.58
Wall Street Target
$22.50
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 26.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.99
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$18.14
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$18.28
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.88
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: -9.2%)
$13.35
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$9.98
(-44%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$8.48
(-53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$17.57
(-2%)
Analyst growth -10.5%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$15.98
(-11%)
Market implied -10.5%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$12.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BNL)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Broadstone Net Lease reported Q3 2026 earnings, generating AFFO growth of 5.4% YoY. CEO John Moragne expressed confidence in the company's growth and capital markets activity.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings report
Capital markets activity
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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