Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$20.42
-0.11 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
-3.08%
90d:
-2.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BNL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BNL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.90
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $20.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.81 to $21.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.81 -
$21.29
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.70)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.81 -
$21.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.37
Resistance Level
$21.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.76
Wall Street Target
$23.70
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.7%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.38
(0%)
2-Year Target
$20.34
(0%)
3-Year Target
$20.30
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
$20.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$25.00
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.0%)
$19.58
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$16.64
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$23.87
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.7%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$21.70
(+6%)
Market implied 5.7%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$13.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$20.53
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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