Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$17.23
-0.53 (-2.98%)
▼
5d:
-4.28%
30d:
-9.88%
90d:
-22.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BNL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BNL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.63
Based on -2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $17.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.97 to $19.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.10 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.10 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.97 -
$19.30
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($23.10)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.97 -
$19.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.13
Resistance Level
$18.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.66
Wall Street Target
$23.10
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.7%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.16
(0%)
2-Year Target
$17.09
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$17.02
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
$17.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: -9.2%)
$12.89
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$9.97
(-42%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$8.48
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$17.26
(+0%)
Analyst growth -11.6%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$15.69
(-9%)
Market implied -11.6%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$12.08
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$17.39
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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