Primoris Services (PRIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation

WATER, SEWER, PIPELINE, COMM & POWER LINE CONSTRUCTION
$75.28
2.31 (3.17%) ▲
5d: +2.3%
30d: -7.59%
90d: -20.34%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: PRIM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.69
42.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $75.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.72 to $82.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.80 (+56.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $73.72 - $82.52
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 10th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 87.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.5% below Wall St target ($117.80)
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $73.72 - $82.52
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$6.98 (9.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $70.12
Resistance Level $77.26
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.42
Wall Street Target $117.80 (+56.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -60.5%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.4 vs 20.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $67.75 (-10%)
2-Year Target $60.98 (-19%)
3-Year Target $54.88 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→21) $78.79 (+5%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 143.5%) $355.44 (+372%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 143.5%) $254.07 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 143.5%) $215.96 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case $160.53 (+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case $145.94 (+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case $49.62 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 20.7
Stabilization Target: $108.08 (+43.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +43.6%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Terry D Mccallister BUY 10 shares 2026-04-15

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