PRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation

WATER, SEWER, PIPELINE, COMM & POWER LINE CONSTRUCTION
$84.95
-23.39 (-21.59%) ▼
5d: -16.17%
30d: -22.77%
90d: -40.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your PRIM Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PRIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$251.01
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.86
45.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $84.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.31 to $124.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $100.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 21.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: PRIM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.79 (+69.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $99.31 - $124.49
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-21.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 69.3% below Wall St target ($143.79)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-16.2%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $99.31 - $124.49
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $100.10
Resistance Level $135.67
Current Trend Support Break
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.33
Wall Street Target $143.79 (+69.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -60.5%
Profit Margin 3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 22.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $76.45 (-10%)
2-Year Target $68.81 (-19%)
3-Year Target $61.93 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→22) $96.36 (+13%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.8%) $244.85 (+188%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 23.8%) $161.11 (+90%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 23.8%) $136.94 (+61%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case $145.81 (+35%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case $132.55 (+22%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case $68.88 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 22.3
Stabilization Target: $132.19 (+55.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +55.6%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Terry D Mccallister BUY 10 shares 2026-04-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-02-18

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