PRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation
$77.18
-2.06 (-2.60%)
▼
5d:
-7.35%
30d:
-14.84%
90d:
-29.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.90
41.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $77.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.64 to $88.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.79 (+55.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.79 (+55.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.64 -
$88.05
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.2% below Wall St target ($119.79)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.64 -
$88.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.31
(8.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.07
Resistance Level
$85.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.82
Wall Street Target
$119.79
(+55.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$62.52
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$56.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$80.13
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 143.4%)
$352.85
(+357%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 143.4%)
$260.48
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 143.4%)
$221.41
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.53
Bull Case
$174.33
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$158.48
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.3
Bear Case
$53.88
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$109.91
(+42.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Terry D Mccallister
BUY
10 shares
2026-04-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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Advanced PRIM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PRIM price and gamma walls.
