PRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation
$85.22
-1.38 (-1.59%)
▼
5d:
-5.52%
30d:
-9.22%
90d:
-47.11%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PRIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PRIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.32
40.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $85.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.19 to $114.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $100.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.93 (+52.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $100.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.93 (+52.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$88.19 -
$114.49
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.5% below Wall St target ($129.93)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.19 -
$114.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.10
Resistance Level
$135.67
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.78
Wall Street Target
$129.93
(+52.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$69.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$62.13
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→22)
$85.80
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 148.9%)
$396.87
(+366%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 148.9%)
$287.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 148.9%)
$244.47
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$113.53
(+33%)
Analyst growth 19.2%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$103.21
(+21%)
Market implied 19.2%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$58.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$117.70
(+38.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Terry D Mccallister
BUY
10 shares
2026-04-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-18
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