PRIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation
$87.49
3.08 (3.65%)
▲
5d:
+2.29%
30d:
-0.8%
90d:
-51.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRIM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRIM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$226.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.34
37.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $87.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.19 to $95.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.66, while resistance sits at $92.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.50 (+51.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.66, while resistance sits at $92.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.50 (+51.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$83.19 -
$95.32
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.0% below Wall St target ($127.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.19 -
$95.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.66
Resistance Level
$92.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.64
Wall Street Target
$127.50
(+51.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 21.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$68.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$61.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→22)
$84.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 146.5%)
$377.68
(+347%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 146.5%)
$284.88
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 146.5%)
$242.15
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$97.99
(+16%)
Analyst growth 4.0%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$89.09
(+6%)
Market implied 4.0%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$58.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$116.06
(+37.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Terry D Mccallister
BUY
10 shares
2026-04-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-18
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