AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$48.59
0.78 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
+5.56%
30d:
+13.98%
90d:
+26.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMCR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMCR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.35
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $48.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.80 to $47.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.80 -
$47.32
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMCR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.93)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with 25.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.80 -
$47.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.81
Resistance Level
$48.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.36
Wall Street Target
$49.93
(+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.58
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$52.66
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$54.81
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.75
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.3%)
$86.31
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 17.3%)
$48.84
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 17.3%)
$41.52
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case
$93.75
(+93%)
Analyst growth 78.3%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$85.23
(+75%)
Market implied 78.3%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$32.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
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Advanced AMCR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMCR price and gamma walls.
