AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$43.18
0.48 (1.12%)
▲
5d:
-4.04%
30d:
+11.2%
90d:
+3.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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1 traders called AMCR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.08
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $43.18, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.80 to $43.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.45, while resistance sits at $45.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.21 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.45, while resistance sits at $45.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.21 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.80 -
$43.35
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 77.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.80 -
$43.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.45
Resistance Level
$45.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.07
Wall Street Target
$48.21
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.31
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$43.44
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$43.57
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$117.11
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 7.8%)
$54.15
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 7.8%)
$46.03
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$93.94
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$85.40
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$29.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 11, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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