AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$42.43
-0.75 (-1.74%)
▼
5d:
-4.91%
30d:
+11.16%
90d:
+3.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
Get Alerted When AMCR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called AMCR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.07
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $42.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.38 to $43.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.21 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.21 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.38 -
$43.58
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.38 -
$43.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.45
Resistance Level
$45.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.90
Wall Street Target
$48.21
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.35
(0%)
2-Year Target
$42.26
(0%)
3-Year Target
$42.18
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$42.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$116.94
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$53.15
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 7.8%)
$45.18
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$95.00
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$86.36
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$29.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$42.86
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Top Rated Packaging & Containers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaging & Containers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SW
Smurfit WestRock plc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$54 | 53 HOLD |
|
SLGN
Silgan Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$54 | 65 BUY |
|
SEE
Sealed Air Corporation |
BUY
17 analysts |
$45 | 64 BUY |
|
CCK
Crown Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$125 | 59 HOLD |
|
BALL
Ball Corporation |
BUY
17 analysts |
$71 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced AMCR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMCR price and gamma walls.
