Amcor plc Ordinary Shares (AMCR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$42.32
-0.68 (-1.58%)
▼
5d:
-7.78%
30d:
-9.11%
90d:
+6.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $45.15 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMCR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMCR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.35
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.30
4.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $42.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.79 to $47.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMCR scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.18 (+18.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMCR scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.18 (+18.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$44.79 -
$47.78
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMCR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.18)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.79 -
$47.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.27
Resistance Level
$47.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$50.18
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$41.65
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$41.31
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$42.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.3%)
$86.74
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$42.54
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 17.3%)
$36.16
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$85.38
(+102%)
Analyst growth 80.5%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$77.62
(+83%)
Market implied 80.5%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$29.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$43.21
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
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