AMCR
Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES
Amcor plc Ordinary Shares (AMCR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$43.80
-0.59 (-1.33%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.45%
30d:
+3.6%
90d:
-4.84%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect AMCR Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (51%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$42.46 â $46.78
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.2x
FAIR
vs 10.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$50.98
+16.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.77 / $49.71
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMCR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $45.84 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.35
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.30
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $43.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.46 to $46.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMCR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.98 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMCR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.98 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$42.46 -
$46.78
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$42.46 -
$46.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$43.77
Resistance Level
$49.71
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMCR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.98)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 6.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.24
Wall Street Target
$50.98
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.1%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.93
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$44.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$44.20
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.60
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$85.41
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 17.3%)
$44.03
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 17.3%)
$37.42
(-15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case
$89.66
(+105%)
Analyst growth 83.6%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$81.51
(+86%)
Market implied 83.6%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$30.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMCR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits advises caution on adding positions in $AMCR, suggesting that the disposal of the North American Beverage unit could serve as a buy signal. No new news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Buy signal potential with the disposal of the North American Beverage unit
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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