SLGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLGN - Silgan Holdings Inc
$39.98
-1.08 (-2.63%)
▼
5d:
-13.89%
30d:
-13.29%
90d:
-1.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SLGN is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SLGN is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.06
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLGN is currently trading at $39.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.16 to $46.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLGN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.77 (+37.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLGN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.77 (+37.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.16 -
$46.96
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SLGN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.0% below Wall St target ($54.77)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.16 -
$46.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.83
Resistance Level
$48.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.78
Wall Street Target
$54.77
(+37.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.7%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.06
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$38.16
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$37.28
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$40.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.0%)
$103.89
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$49.03
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$41.68
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$71.81
(+80%)
Analyst growth 59.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$65.28
(+63%)
Market implied 59.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$27.92
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$42.90
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLGN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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