CCK Crown Holdings Inc. METAL CANS

Crown (CCK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$123.23
-0.17 (-0.14%) ▼
5d: +2.07% 30d: +13.57% 90d: +2.09%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$110.14 – $121.19
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.6x FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$136.15
+10.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$114.50 / $126.36
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.36
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.12
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCK is currently trading at $123.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.14 to $121.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $126.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CCK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.15 (+10.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $110.14 - $121.19
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $110.14 - $121.19
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.67 (3.0%)
Support Level $114.50
Resistance Level $126.36
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($136.15)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.56
Wall Street Target $136.15 (+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12.4%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 12.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $127.54 (+4%)
2-Year Target $132.01 (+7%)
3-Year Target $136.63 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $122.97 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.0%) $227.71 (+85%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 8.0%) $155.42 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.0%) $132.11 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
Bull Case $172.11 (+40%)
Analyst growth 26.8%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case $156.46 (+27%)
Market implied 26.8%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case $83.91 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CCK)

Bullish 4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
3
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Traders on StockTwits express a bullish outlook towards materials stocks, including $CCK, following an uptrend in the sector. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes: Uptrend in materials sector Positive sentiment towards $CCK
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CCK Research Pages
CCK Technical Chart CCK Price Prediction CCK Intrinsic Value DCF CCK Earnings Date CCK Investment Advisor CCK Fair Price Analyzer CCK Options Chain CCK Options Advisor CCK Options Analysis CCK Competitors
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