CCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCK - Crown Holdings Inc.
$105.49
2.27 (2.20%)
▲
5d:
+5.41%
30d:
+9.36%
90d:
+4.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.96
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCK is currently trading at $105.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.34 to $100.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $106.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $106.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$94.34 -
$100.04
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($125.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.34 -
$100.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.75
Resistance Level
$106.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.68
Wall Street Target
$125.00
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$101.99
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$101.37
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$103.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$249.02
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 9.0%)
$133.56
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$113.53
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.29
Bull Case
$156.90
(+52%)
Analyst growth 40.5%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$142.64
(+38%)
Market implied 40.5%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$69.05
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$105.15
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-15
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-08
Djalma Novaes Jr
SELL
29734 shares
2026-02-23
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