CCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCK - Crown Holdings Inc.
$117.85
-0.52 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-0.03%
30d:
+5.82%
90d:
+19.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CCK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.20
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCK is currently trading at $117.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.61 to $116.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $113.40, while resistance sits at $121.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.57 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $113.40, while resistance sits at $121.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.57 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$107.61 -
$116.12
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CCK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($136.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.61 -
$116.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.40
Resistance Level
$121.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.03
Wall Street Target
$136.57
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.9%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.03
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$124.30
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$127.66
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.7%)
$233.99
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 7.7%)
$147.05
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 7.7%)
$124.99
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.87
Bull Case
$171.46
(+46%)
Analyst growth 31.7%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$155.87
(+32%)
Market implied 31.7%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$80.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-15
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-08
Djalma Novaes Jr
SELL
29734 shares
2026-02-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCK price and gamma walls.
