Ball (BALL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$64.98
-0.84 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
+2.81%
30d:
+14.68%
90d:
+0.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.28
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $64.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.03 to $62.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $66.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $66.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$57.03 -
$62.67
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.03 -
$62.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.46
Resistance Level
$66.12
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.57
Wall Street Target
$71.54
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.52
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$69.28
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$71.08
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$127.58
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 12.4%)
$93.58
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$79.54
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.51
Bull Case
$90.83
(+38%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$82.57
(+26%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$43.62
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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