BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$63.59
0.98 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
+2.86%
30d:
+2.19%
90d:
+12.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: BALL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: BALL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.38
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $63.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.55 to $64.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.57 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.57 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.55 -
$64.53
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($72.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.55 -
$64.53
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.90
Resistance Level
$63.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.06
Wall Street Target
$72.57
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$65.25
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$66.10
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.4%)
$128.84
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 12.4%)
$90.26
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$76.72
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$89.25
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$81.14
(+28%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$42.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fauze Villatoro
BUY
1551 shares
2026-03-04
Kathleen Pitre
SELL
10660 shares
2026-03-02
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