BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$60.49
2.29 (3.93%)
▲
5d:
+5.48%
30d:
+7.35%
90d:
+3.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.88
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $60.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.82 to $57.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.79 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.79 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.82 -
$57.73
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.82 -
$57.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.07
Resistance Level
$60.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.38
Wall Street Target
$70.79
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.43
(0%)
2-Year Target
$60.37
(0%)
3-Year Target
$60.31
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$60.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.0%)
$142.22
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$87.39
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$74.28
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$87.84
(+45%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$79.86
(+32%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$41.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$60.57
(+0.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fauze Villatoro
BUY
1551 shares
2026-03-04
Kathleen Pitre
SELL
10660 shares
2026-03-02
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