Ball (BALL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$56.37
-0.13 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-0.81%
30d:
-10.95%
90d:
-10.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BALL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BALL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.38
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $56.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.83 to $63.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.57 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.57 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$57.83 -
$63.12
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($72.57)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.83 -
$63.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.11
Resistance Level
$61.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.46
Wall Street Target
$72.57
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.85
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$53.37
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$51.93
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$56.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$130.96
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$80.01
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 12.4%)
$68.01
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$80.54
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$73.22
(+30%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$38.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$61.06
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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