BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$65.15
0.25 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
+0.74%
30d:
+2.78%
90d:
+6.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BALL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BALL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.37
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $65.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.13 to $64.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $61.59, while resistance sits at $67.55.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $61.59, while resistance sits at $67.55.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.13 -
$64.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.13 -
$64.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.59
Resistance Level
$67.55
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.41
Wall Street Target
$71.14
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.58
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$68.05
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$69.55
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.9%)
$134.89
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$93.76
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 12.9%)
$79.70
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$94.10
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$85.55
(+31%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$44.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fauze Villatoro
BUY
1551 shares
2026-03-04
Kathleen Pitre
SELL
10660 shares
2026-03-02
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