BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$61.30
-0.39 (-0.63%)
▼
5d:
-2.62%
30d:
+12.02%
90d:
-1.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.90
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $61.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.64 to $62.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.93 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.93 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$55.64 -
$62.34
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.64 -
$62.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.94
Resistance Level
$63.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.56
Wall Street Target
$70.93
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.48
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$61.67
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$61.85
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.0%)
$142.01
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$88.40
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.0%)
$75.14
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$89.45
(+46%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$81.32
(+33%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$41.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fauze Villatoro
BUY
1551 shares
2026-03-04
Kathleen Pitre
SELL
10660 shares
2026-03-02
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