BALL
Ball Corporation
METAL CANS
Ball (BALL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$64.91
-0.90 (-1.37%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.99%
30d:
+7.41%
90d:
+5.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$60.02 â $66.56
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.5x
FAIR
vs 13.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$72.62
+11.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$62.97 / $69.58
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BALL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.83
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $64.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.02 to $66.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $62.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.62 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $62.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.62 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$60.02 -
$66.56
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$60.02 -
$66.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$62.97
Resistance Level
$69.58
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($72.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.51
Wall Street Target
$72.62
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.40
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$67.93
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$69.49
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.13
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$124.02
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 11.8%)
$90.62
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$77.02
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$144.78
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.4
Base Case
$131.62
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$44.75
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BALL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ball Corporation (BALL) reported Q3 earnings beating expectations with higher volumes and favorable price mix, resulting in a revenue increase of 23.9% to $4.188 billion.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings beat
Higher volumes and favorable price mix
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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