Ball (BALL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$59.90
0.16 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
-4.81%
30d:
-3.6%
90d:
+6.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BALL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.05
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $59.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.37 to $63.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.57 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BALL scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.57 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$61.37 -
$63.96
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($72.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.37 -
$63.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.34
Resistance Level
$64.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$72.57
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.42
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$58.95
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$58.47
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$60.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.4%)
$129.48
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 12.4%)
$85.02
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 12.4%)
$72.27
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$85.16
(+42%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$77.42
(+29%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$40.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$61.51
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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