AMCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A
$9.82
-0.15 (-1.50%)
▼
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
-2.58%
90d:
+30.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.84
Based on -8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $9.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.58 to $10.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.6) compared to its historical average (5.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.51, while resistance sits at $10.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.51, while resistance sits at $10.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.58 -
$10.17
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 23.6% above Wall St target ($7.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.58 -
$10.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.51
Resistance Level
$10.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.61
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(-23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 5.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.64
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$11.52
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$12.47
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -21.0%)
$23.57
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: -21.0%)
$7.16
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: -21.0%)
$5.63
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$18.20
(+85%)
Analyst growth 66.8%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$16.55
(+69%)
Market implied 66.8%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$6.75
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Sherin III
SELL
5963 shares
2026-03-10
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AMCX is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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