AMCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A
$10.90
-0.30 (-2.68%)
▼
5d:
+7.6%
30d:
+6.24%
90d:
+27.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.74
Based on -1.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $10.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.80 to $10.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (5.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.97, while resistance sits at $11.66.
Market Sentiment: AMCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.97, while resistance sits at $11.66.
Market Sentiment: AMCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.80 -
$10.59
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 20.5% above Wall St target ($8.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.80 -
$10.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.97
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.51
Wall Street Target
$8.67
(-20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.2%
Profit Margin
-0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 5.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.30
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.73
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$9.20
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$10.81
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -7.3%)
$39.97
(+267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: -7.3%)
$8.69
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: -7.3%)
$7.39
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$19.31
(+73%)
Analyst growth 80.8%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$17.56
(+57%)
Market implied 80.8%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$6.60
(-41%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 5.3
Stabilization Target:
$12.81
(+17.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 5:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Sherin III
SELL
5963 shares
2026-03-10
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AMCX is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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